{"id":11389,"date":"2018-09-25T07:30:09","date_gmt":"2018-09-25T11:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=11389"},"modified":"2018-09-25T07:30:09","modified_gmt":"2018-09-25T11:30:09","slug":"expect-a-big-move-in-this-currency-soon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/expect-a-big-move-in-this-currency-soon\/","title":{"rendered":"Expect a Big Move in This Currency Soon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&rsquo;s stock market isn&rsquo;t the only thing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/how-to-trade-china-from-here\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bottoming<\/a> in the &ldquo;People&rsquo;s Republic.&rdquo; The currency looks to be hitting a bottom as well.<\/p>\n<p>The Chinese yuan and the U.S. dollar often run in different directions. As the dollar rallies, the yuan falls &ndash; and vice versa.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. dollar bottomed in April and then went on a blistering four-month-long rally that peaked last month. By contrast, the yuan peaked in April and then spent the whole summer diving off of a cliff.<\/p>\n<p>But, it looks like that trend is about to change.<\/p>\n<p>Regular readers know we&rsquo;ve been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-most-important-move-in-the-dollar-this-year\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">looking for a top in the U.S. dollar<\/a> for the past several weeks. It seems that we may now be finally getting what we were looking for.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s an updated look at the U.S. Dollar Index (USD)&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201809-mm\/20180925-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>After peaking above 96 in August, USD has endured a series of lower highs and lower lows. The dollar has also broken below the support of its 50-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#movingaverage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">moving average<\/a> (MA) line &ndash; which shifts the intermediate-term trend to bearish. Now, all of the various moving averages are in a bearish configuration &ndash; the 9-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#ema\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">exponential moving average<\/a> (EMA) is below the 20-day EMA, which is below the 50-day MA.<\/p>\n<p>The last time the chart of the dollar looked like this was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-the-dollar-is-headed-lower\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">back in December<\/a>, just before the buck dropped 6%.<\/p>\n<p>Now, let&rsquo;s look at the yuan. Here&rsquo;s a chart of the WisdomTree Chinese Yuan Strategy Fund (CYB), which tracks the action in the currency&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201809-mm\/20180925-MM-02.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>CYB hasn&rsquo;t been able to break above the resistance of its 50-day MA line yet. It also hasn&rsquo;t formed a series of higher highs and higher lows &ndash; which would signal a new uptrend is in place.<\/p>\n<p>But all of the moving averages are coiling together. Energy is building for a big move.<\/p>\n<p>The last time the CYB chart looked this way was back in late November\/early December, just before the dollar nosedived. CYB responded by rallying 8% in about six weeks.<\/p>\n<p>We just might be on the cusp of a similar move today.<\/p>\n<p>If the decline in the dollar starts to accelerate, then look for the yuan to press higher from here.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S.<\/strong> A lot of folks have written to me in the past year, saying the <em>Market Minute<\/em> is the best free trading resource out there.<\/p>\n<p>But what you might not know is that my <em>Delta Report<\/em> service takes it one step further&hellip; with specific, actionable advice that helps you make money no matter what the market does.<\/p>\n<p>If you want to learn the best way to profit on any kind of market move &ndash; and hear the story of how I learned to do it &ndash; <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/chain?cid=MKT362056&amp;eid=MKT379047&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC039397&amp;encryptedSnaid=%25%25ENCRYPTEDSNAID%25%25&amp;emailjobid=%25%25jobid%25%25&amp;emailname=%25%25emailname_%25%25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Do you think the dollar is about to fall off a cliff? How are you prepping your portfolio?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know &ndash; along with any other trading stories, questions, or suggestions&nbsp;&ndash; <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">right here<\/a>&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Many signs point to a big upside move in this currency&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-11389","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11389","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11389"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11389\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11389"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11389"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11389"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=11389"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=11389"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=11389"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=11389"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}