{"id":11450,"date":"2018-09-28T07:30:26","date_gmt":"2018-09-28T11:30:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=11450"},"modified":"2018-09-28T07:30:26","modified_gmt":"2018-09-28T11:30:26","slug":"the-stock-markets-next-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-stock-markets-next-move\/","title":{"rendered":"The Stock Market&#8217;s Next Move"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The stock market looks a little different today than it did last week.<\/p>\n<p>Last Friday, the S&amp;P 500 was trading at new all-time highs. It was above its upper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bollingerbands\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bollinger Band<\/a> &ndash; which indicates an extended, overbought condition. And, the index was testing the resistance level of a rising wedge pattern on the chart.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s usually not a good idea to chase stocks higher into such conditions. So, I suggested folks who were looking to buy stocks might wait a few days before doing so.<\/p>\n<p>Today, while the market has pulled back slightly from last Friday&rsquo;s overbought conditions, I still think folks will do better to wait a few more days before increasing exposure to the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this updated chart of the S&amp;P 500&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201809-mm\/20180928-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The chart still shows a well-defined bearish rising wedge pattern (the red lines) with negative divergence on several technical indicators. Now, though, rather than bumping into the resistance line of the wedge, the S&amp;P is struggling to hold above the support line.<\/p>\n<p>The index might be able to bounce from here. There&rsquo;s still room inside the wedge for one more push higher. But, after yesterday&rsquo;s last-hour selloff &ndash; where the S&amp;P gave up more than half of the gains it had made earlier in the day &ndash; I&rsquo;m not convinced the market has enough energy to put on much of a bounce from here.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, if the S&amp;P breaks to the downside of the rising wedge pattern, we might see the market follow the path of the dashed blue line. The index could make a quick decline to where it started the month (2870-ish), then bounce a bit off of that level to relieve what would surely be some short-term oversold conditions. Then it could make another decline towards the 2825 level, which we <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-biggest-buying-binge-of-the-year\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">listed last week<\/a> as a possible downside target.<\/p>\n<p>As I&rsquo;ve written before, it doesn&rsquo;t have to play out this way. After the action this week, though, I like the potential for this pattern to play out.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>Editor&rsquo;s note:<\/strong> Have you booked your ticket for the <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.legacyresearch.com\/chain?cid=MKT367600&amp;eid=MKT376483&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC039468&amp;encryptedSnaid=%25%25ENCRYPTEDSNAID%25%25&amp;emailjobid=%25%25jobid%25%25&amp;emailname=%25%25emailname_%25%25\">first-ever Legacy Investment Summit<\/a>? If not, you should decide soon&hellip; <u>Sales end Sunday at midnight.<\/u><\/p>\n<p>This is your chance to meet not just Jeff Clark, but other newsletter icons like Doug Casey, Bill Bonner, Teeka Tiwari, and many more&hellip; face to face.<\/p>\n<p>Regular readers know Jeff doesn&rsquo;t make many public appearances. He only speaks when he has something big to say. That&rsquo;s why he&rsquo;s headed to Bermuda this October &ndash; to unveil his newest trading strategies to the Legacy subscribers who attend. <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.legacyresearch.com\/chain?cid=MKT367600&amp;eid=MKT376483&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC039468&amp;encryptedSnaid=%25%25ENCRYPTEDSNAID%25%25&amp;emailjobid=%25%25jobid%25%25&amp;emailname=%25%25emailname_%25%25\">Learn how to join them here.<\/a><\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Do you agree with Jeff that it&rsquo;s better to wait than buy into this market? Or do you think there&rsquo;s a better way to play it?<\/p>\n<p>As always, send in your trading questions, stories, or suggestions <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">right here.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s why I see the market heading next&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-11450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11450","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11450"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11450\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11450"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11450"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11450"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=11450"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=11450"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=11450"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=11450"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}