{"id":12056,"date":"2018-11-16T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-11-16T12:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=12056"},"modified":"2018-11-16T07:30:00","modified_gmt":"2018-11-16T12:30:00","slug":"the-only-chance-for-a-bitcoin-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-only-chance-for-a-bitcoin-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"The Only Chance for a Bitcoin Rally\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week we asked, &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/is-bitcoin-gearing-up-for-a-year-end-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Is Bitcoin Gearing Up for a Year-End Rally?<\/a>&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>We got our answer on Wednesday. The market said, &ldquo;NO!&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin broke down from its consolidating triangle pattern. And all that energy I thought was being stored up for a rally got spent pushing bitcoin in the opposite direction. Here&rsquo;s the updated chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201811-mm\/20181116-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin broke down from its consolidating triangle pattern. It dropped 15% in one day. And it&rsquo;s now testing support near $5,250 per coin.<\/p>\n<p>This chart has suffered significant damage. Momentum indicators, like the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#rsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/a> and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) are more oversold now than they have been all year. This condition might help bitcoin bounce back a bit from here in the short term.<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s hope that happens. Because if the $5,250 level doesn&rsquo;t hold, then the next support line is down around $4,300.<\/p>\n<p>So&hellip; does this wipe out the chance of a year-end rally for the leader of the cryptocurrencies?<\/p>\n<p>Yes, it probably does.<\/p>\n<p>Unless bitcoin can recover immediately and get back above $6,000 &ndash; like today &ndash; then there&rsquo;s not much hope for a year-end rally.<\/p>\n<p>I have seen charts like this break down, flush out the last of the selling pressure, and then immediately reverse. So, let&rsquo;s not rule out that possibility. But, if a reversal is going to happen then it needs to happen today. Bitcoin needs to rally back inside its triangle pattern &ndash; and maybe even press above the triangle in order to repair the damage to this chart.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s probably wishful thinking. Given the severity of Wednesday&rsquo;s decline, it looks like the breakdown is for real.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin now needs to hold onto support at $5,250 and spend some time chopping back and forth in order to build up energy for a new rally phase.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s probably going to take some time.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>Editor&rsquo;s note:<\/strong> As you&rsquo;ve likely noticed over the past couple weeks, the <em>Market Minute<\/em> now publishes only on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays. This shakeup in the schedule is for good reason&hellip; It&rsquo;s so Jeff and the team can focus on a brand-new project.<\/p>\n<p>You may have seen a few updates in your inbox from Jeff about the program he&rsquo;s considering launching. We&rsquo;re still working out the details on this &ldquo;Mastermind&rdquo;&hellip; and we wanted to thank you for your feedback and thoughts on this unique online classroom-style course.<\/p>\n<p>(If you haven&rsquo;t already, please take <a href=\"https:\/\/www.surveymonkey.com\/r\/5V8N6B6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">this two-minute survey<\/a>. It&rsquo;ll help Jeff understand exactly what you&rsquo;re looking for out of this project.)<\/p>\n<p>Keep an eye on your inbox over the next few weeks for updates&hellip; and to learn how you can get involved.<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In today&rsquo;s mailbag, one <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscriber responds to Jeff&rsquo;s new idea&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Jeff, Good afternoon. Please think about continuing with your Mastermind group. What you have learned about trading is much too valuable not to share.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">You could also save these sessions to share with your family. Looking forward to learning more from you.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Glenn<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>What are your thoughts on Jeff&rsquo;s potential online classroom? Would you participate?<\/p>\n<p>And as always, send any other trading questions, stories, or suggestions to <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is bitcoin gearing up for a year-end rally?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-12056","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12056","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12056"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12056\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12056"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12056"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12056"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=12056"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=12056"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=12056"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=12056"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}