{"id":13078,"date":"2019-03-06T07:30:59","date_gmt":"2019-03-06T12:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=13078"},"modified":"2019-03-06T07:30:59","modified_gmt":"2019-03-06T12:30:59","slug":"is-the-gold-stock-rally-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/is-the-gold-stock-rally-over\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Gold Stock Rally Over?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gold stocks are facing their biggest test since the intermediate-term rally began last November.<\/p>\n<p>The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) is up about 16% since we pointed out the start of an intermediate-term rally in the sector <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/more-upside-for-the-gold-sector\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">last October<\/a>. But, the gold stocks have been trading poorly over the past couple of weeks. And, after last week&rsquo;s 6% drop in GDX, readers have been asking, &ldquo;Is the gold stock rally over?&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>In order to answer that question, let&rsquo;s take a look at the chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201903-mm\/20190305-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>In early October, GDX rallied above its 50-day&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#movingaverage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">moving average (MA)<\/a>&nbsp;(the blue line on the chart). Even more important, the 9-day&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#ema\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">exponential moving average (EMA)<\/a>&nbsp;(the red line) crossed above the 50-day MA as well. This &ldquo;bullish crossover&rdquo; often marks the start of an intermediate-term rally phase.<\/p>\n<p>Traders can then use any weakness that causes the 9-day EMA to come back down towards the 50-day MA as a chance to add exposure to the sector.<\/p>\n<p>If the 9-day EMA bounces off of the 50-day MA, then the stock is headed even higher. On the other hand, if the 9-day EMA drops below the 50-day MA, then it creates a &ldquo;bearish crossover.&rdquo; In that case, traders can then exit their positions for a small loss.<\/p>\n<p>We only got one really good chance to buy into the gold stock rally. That was in late November &ndash; right before gold stocks blasted higher.<\/p>\n<p>We may be getting close to another chance to buy into the gold stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Following last week&rsquo;s decline, GDX is now testing the support of its 50-day MA. If it can just hang out at this level for another couple of days, then the 9-day EMA will drift lower and test the support of the 50-day MA as well.<\/p>\n<p>And, just like the buying opportunity in late November, traders will have a lower-risk chance to buy into the gold sector. If the 9-day EMA bounces off support, then the gold sector will be poised for another rally attempt.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>If the 9-day EMA falls through support &ndash; thereby creating a &ldquo;bearish crossover&rdquo; &ndash; then traders can exit their positions for a small loss.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In today&rsquo;s mailbag, a new <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscriber comments on the service&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Jeff, I just joined a few weeks ago and love the service so far. Specific trades with an explanation of why you like them, using a lot of options and then the quick (brief), timely updates sent directly to my phone is exactly what I have been looking for in a service.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Ruel<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Another subscriber wants more gold&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Dear Jeff&hellip; You don&#8217;t call&#8230; You don&#8217;t write&#8230; I&#8217;m beginning to think you don&#8217;t love me anymore.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Signed, gold and miner investor.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Cal<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And one reader gives their take on market technicals&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">We cannot seem to break the 9-day EMA. This market sucks, big time!<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Ryan<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>How have you been trading gold? Are you betting the rally will continue&#8230; or fade?<\/p>\n<p>And as always, send any other trading questions, suggestions, or stories to <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold stocks are facing their biggest test since last November&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-13078","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13078"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13078\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13078"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=13078"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=13078"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=13078"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=13078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}