{"id":13135,"date":"2019-03-13T07:30:43","date_gmt":"2019-03-13T11:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=13135"},"modified":"2019-03-13T07:30:43","modified_gmt":"2019-03-13T11:30:43","slug":"the-vix-is-at-it-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-vix-is-at-it-again\/","title":{"rendered":"The VIX Is at it Again\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At the risk of beating a dead horse, let&rsquo;s take another look at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cboe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Volatility Index (VIX)<\/a>&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201903-mm\/20190313-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>When we looked at this chart <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/another-day-another-caution-sign\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">last week<\/a>, we noted how the VIX was, once again, sitting right on its lower <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bollingerbands\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bollinger Band<\/a>. Previous similar setups often led to an immediate pop higher in volatility and an immediate decline in the broad stock market.<\/p>\n<p>We figured this was a caution sign for stocks heading into last week. And, exercising a little caution last week turned out to be a good thing. The S&amp;P 500 started the week by gapping up to 2817. Then it reversed, and headed lower for five straight days.<\/p>\n<p>At the low of the day on Friday, the S&amp;P was at 2722 &ndash; down 95 points from Monday&rsquo;s high.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, the market bounced a bit off the lows on Friday. And, after two solid rally days this week, the S&amp;P 500 is once again challenging the 2800 level.<\/p>\n<p>But, the VIX is back down to its lower Bollinger Band again. There&rsquo;s not much room for it to move lower and help fuel a sustainable rally in the broad stock market.<\/p>\n<p>This week&rsquo;s bounce in the stock market has been stronger than I thought it would be. The S&amp;P recovered almost everything it lost last week. The index has climbed back above its 9-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#ema\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">exponential moving average (EMA)<\/a> &ndash; which shifts the immediate momentum back into the bullish camp.<\/p>\n<p>Any market gains from here, though, while the VIX is in its current condition, are likely to be given back in the days ahead.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In today&rsquo;s mailbag, a <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscriber awaits a current trade&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Your recent recommendation may payoff today. I hope so. However, with this market, it&rsquo;s so hard to tell as I&rsquo;m still learning. Thank you for your timely updates, write-ups, and all that you do!<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; John<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And a Mastermind subscriber talks about paying the price&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">I&#8217;m glad you don&#8217;t get into all that heavy technical analysis (paralysis). I&#8217;ve got my hands full with getting better at reading the charts and identifying the trends based on our Mastermind sessions. I&#8217;m loving this stuff, but this market is all about a kick in the nuts and eating humble pie.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">You&#8217;ll get a kick out of this&hellip; you warned us that the S&amp;P was getting oversold and to be careful. So of course, I took the other side of the trade&hellip;<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Anyway, I know I should wait, but I got impatient and paid the price. I&#8217;ll get out quickly on Monday if the trade still goes against me, but I&#8217;m hoping for a little bad news over the weekend.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Richard<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful insights. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the risk of beating a dead horse, let\u2019s take another look at the Volatility Index (VIX)\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-13135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13135","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13135"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13135\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13135"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13135"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13135"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=13135"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=13135"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=13135"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=13135"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}