{"id":13432,"date":"2019-04-24T16:11:32","date_gmt":"2019-04-24T20:11:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=13432"},"modified":"2019-04-24T16:11:32","modified_gmt":"2019-04-24T20:11:32","slug":"its-almost-time-to-buy-gold-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/its-almost-time-to-buy-gold-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Almost Time to Buy Gold Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The gold sector has had a miserable month. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has fallen 11% from its March high &ndash; with much of that decline happening in just the past week.<\/p>\n<p>When we <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-gold-stock-breakout-is-now-a-fake-out\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">last looked<\/a> at the gold sector, we noted that GDX had reversed a potentially bullish move and looked poised for a fall. And we set a downside target of somewhere between $21.50 and $20.50 for GDX.<\/p>\n<p>As you can tell from the following chart, GDX is now approaching the lower end of that target zone&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201904-mm\/20190424-MM-%2001.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The January low near $20.50 is an obvious support level, and it&rsquo;s where traders can start looking for a bounce in GDX. Notice, though, that there isn&rsquo;t any positive divergence on the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#macd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> MACD<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#rsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">RSI<\/a> momentum indicators. In other words, the indicators have been falling right along with GDX.<\/p>\n<p>This indicates that the existing downtrend is strong. And while GDX might get a short-term bounce off of its support level, the sector probably still has lower to go.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at the action in GDX last August and September. As GDX fell to a lower low, you can see that the MACD and RSI indicators made higher lows. This is the sort of positive divergence that indicates the potential for a trend change. And that&rsquo;s the sort of action I&rsquo;m hoping to see develop in the GDX chart over the next few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Aggressive traders might consider buying GDX as it approaches support, and then trading it for a short-term bounce. But, don&rsquo;t stick around too long in the trade. Any bounce is likely to be short-lived and lead to lower lows.<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;ll get a much better, intermediate-term buying opportunity in the gold sector if we can get positive divergence on the technical indicators. That&rsquo;s going to take at least a couple of weeks to develop. But, that&rsquo;s where I&rsquo;ll be looking to buy the gold stocks.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In today&rsquo;s mailbag, a <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscriber talks <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-you-shouldnt-cash-in-your-bitcoin-trade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bitcoin<\/a>&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">We are following the strategy of holding long and resisting the itch to take profits, for better or worse. The itch was strong in 2017. I have always been attracted to short trades, so it&#8217;s been a bit tough&hellip;<\/p>\n<p> It&rsquo;s your name I look for in my email every day. Thank you so much for sharing your analysis!<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Michael<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And another reader responds to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/dont-make-this-mistake-on-your-next-trade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">last Friday&rsquo;s<\/a> <em>Market Minute<\/em>&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Ordinarily, I would agree with you about illiquid options. However, I currently hold option positions on Booking Holdings (BKNG) which trades more than 500,000 shares daily and the option positions I traded had a volume in excess 1,000. Even with this volume, the greedy market makers were still suggesting a bid\/ask spread of $6!<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">This is forcing me to wait until expiration day to harvest most of my profits on this trade.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Ray<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Are you bullish or bearish on gold? How have you been trading the sector?<\/p>\n<p>Tell us your gold trading stories, along with any other trading stories, questions, or feedback at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The gold sector has had a miserable month&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-13432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13432"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13432\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13432"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=13432"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=13432"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=13432"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=13432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}