{"id":13657,"date":"2019-05-20T07:30:36","date_gmt":"2019-05-20T11:30:36","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2019-05-20T07:30:36","modified_gmt":"2019-05-20T11:30:36","slug":"this-indicator-looks-ready-to-pop-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-indicator-looks-ready-to-pop-again\/","title":{"rendered":"This Indicator Looks Ready to Pop Again"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Trading off the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cboe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Volatility Index (VIX)<\/a> over the past few weeks would have been a profitable strategy. It just might produce profits this week as well.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this month, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/what-could-possibly-go-wrong\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">we pointed to<\/a> the low reading in the VIX, and the record speculative short position in VIX futures contracts as a warning the stock market might be in for a rough period. The S&amp;P 500 peaked shortly thereafter, and tumbled more than 4% in two weeks. Meanwhile, the VIX spiked from below 13 to an intraday high above 22 &ndash; a gain of almost 70%.<\/p>\n<p>A few days ago, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/on-the-verge-of-a-buy-signal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">we took another look<\/a> at the Volatility Index, and noted it was on the verge of generating a broad stock market buy signal. The S&amp;P 500 rallied 90 points from last Monday&rsquo;s low to last Thursday&rsquo;s high as the VIX fell all the way back down to 15.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s two solid trading signals from the VIX in about two weeks. And, it looks like we&rsquo;re about to get another one.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this 60-minute chart of the Volatility Index&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/jc-stable\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201905-mm\/20190520-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>It looks like Friday&rsquo;s decline in the broad stock market has caused the VIX to break out to the upside of a falling wedge pattern.<\/p>\n<p>Admittedly, this isn&rsquo;t the cleanest of wedge patterns. It&rsquo;s a little too steep, and the support line doesn&rsquo;t connect with all the &ldquo;dots.&rdquo; But, since the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#macd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MACD<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#rsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">RSI<\/a> momentum indicators both show positive divergence &ndash; meaning they&rsquo;ve been moving higher while the VIX has moved lower &ndash; we might want to be a little less strict about the cleanliness of the pattern.<\/p>\n<p>This chart looks to me like it has the potential to press higher again. And a rising VIX is usually accompanied by a falling stock market.<\/p>\n<p>This is a 60-minute chart. And patterns on this time frame tend to play out within just a few days. So, if the VIX is going to move higher, then we should see that move get started sometime early this week.<\/p>\n<p>Traders might consider taking advantage of any strength in the market early today as a chance to add some short exposure.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S. <\/strong>Because you read today\u2019s <em>Market Minute<\/em>, you\u2019re now better prepared for a market crash than the countless investors who didn\u2019t. And I\u2019m glad\u2026 because when stocks fall, most investors won\u2019t know what to do.<\/p>\n<p>They&#8217;ll panic. So will the mainstream talking heads. But smart traders have the chance to see windfall profits during a market crash&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT407875&#038;eid=MKT410493&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC049017&#038;encryptedSnaid=%%ENCRYPTEDSNAID%%&#038;emailjobid=%%jobid%%&#038;emailname=%%emailname_%%\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">especially if they use my strategy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In just two days, I&rsquo;m going to reveal <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT407875&#038;eid=MKT410493&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC049017&#038;encryptedSnaid=%%ENCRYPTEDSNAID%%&#038;emailjobid=%%jobid%%&#038;emailname=%%emailname_%%\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the exact date I believe the market could crash<\/a>. And, I want to show you how you can turn the next crash into a goldmine.<\/p>\n<p>Tune in this Wednesday, at 8 p.m. ET, while I reveal all the details. <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT407875&#038;eid=MKT410493&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC049017&#038;encryptedSnaid=%%ENCRYPTEDSNAID%%&#038;emailjobid=%%jobid%%&#038;emailname=%%emailname_%%\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reserve your seat now<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In today&rsquo;s mailbag, a <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscriber gives Jeff a quick thanks&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Let me say how much I appreciate your discussions about what&#8217;s going on in the market and how you see things. This is a great learning environment&hellip; thanks for the great service.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Scott<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Do you see a market crash coming in the near future? Why or why not?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know what you see coming in the market, along with any other trading questions, stories, or suggestions at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trading off the VIX over the past few weeks would have been a profitable strategy. It just might produce profits this week as well&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-13657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13657"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13657\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13657"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=13657"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=13657"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=13657"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=13657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}