{"id":14131,"date":"2019-07-12T07:30:12","date_gmt":"2019-07-12T11:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=14131"},"modified":"2019-07-12T07:30:12","modified_gmt":"2019-07-12T11:30:12","slug":"gold-stocks-can-still-use-a-break","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/gold-stocks-can-still-use-a-break\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Stocks Can Still Use a Break"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After a huge rally in June, the gold sector has continued to press even higher.<\/p>\n<p>The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) closed at $26.10 per share on Wednesday. That&rsquo;s its highest level in a year. And, in spite of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/gold-stocks-can-use-a-break\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">my cautionary comments last month<\/a> that &ldquo;gold stocks could use a break,&rdquo; the sector shows no sign of slowing down yet.<\/p>\n<p>But, I&rsquo;m still cautious on the gold sector.<\/p>\n<p>Don&rsquo;t get me wrong&hellip; I like the gold stocks. I think the sector will be higher in the months to come. But, I&rsquo;m not willing to chase them higher here. Instead, I&rsquo;ll be looking to add exposure to the sector on a pullback.<\/p.>\n<p>And, based on the look of the following chart, I suspect that pullback may happen sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n<p>Look at this chart of GDX&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201907\/20190712-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>You can see that as GDX rallied to a new high on Wednesday, key momentum indicators like the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#macd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)<\/a> and the 14-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#rsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/a> failed to reach new highs. This sort of &ldquo;negative divergence is often an early warning sign of an impending pullback.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And, since GDX is already so stretched above its 50-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#movingaverage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">moving average (MA)<\/a> line (the squiggly blue line on the chart), and the shorter-term moving averages are quite extended as well, now is probably a bad time to be increasing exposure to the gold sector. <\/p>\n<p>Traders will have a better, lower-risk chance to buy into gold stocks when\/if GDX comes back closer to its 50-day MA, or when the various moving averages all coil together again.<\/p>\n<p>It looks to me like we&rsquo;re probably at least a couple of weeks away from getting that sort of setup.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S.<\/strong> Thank you to all the folks who tuned into my live, Open Line Q&amp;A yesterday. And, thank you for submitting your questions.<\/p>\n<p>One reader had a great question about where I thought gold was headed the rest of the year. Others asked about my strategy for a market crash, certain technical indicators, and even bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>If you weren&rsquo;t able to attend live, don&rsquo;t worry&hellip; you can still <a href=\"https:\/\/protect-us.mimecast.com\/s\/SuHuCwp577INXBMTq6Y5q?domain=click.exct.jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">catch a replay of the event right here.<\/a> But, you&rsquo;ll want to soon&hellip; My publisher is taking the video down <strong>tonight at midnight.<\/strong> (If you&rsquo;re a <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscriber, the replay will be up on the members-only portal for you to watch whenever you&rsquo;d like.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/protect-us.mimecast.com\/s\/SuHuCwp577INXBMTq6Y5q?domain=click.exct.jeffclarktrader.com\">Click here to watch the replay now.<\/a><\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>Today, readers pour in with comments on Jeff&rsquo;s services&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Hi Jeff, I am a big fan of the types of trades you recommend on the <em>Delta Report.<\/em> I really like knowing if we have a winner within a small period of time instead of waiting many months or even years for a trade to play out. Thanks for all of the great recommendations!<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Peter<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Just signed up and really want to get moving. I have been listening to and reading all your info on your website. Thanks for your help! I am eager and I am enjoying everything I am learning so far.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Terie<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">First of all, I love your trading method. I&rsquo;m seeing results very quickly. What am I trusted in is how to set up stock screeners to get additional ideas for bearish and bullish plays. Happy trading!<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Michael<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">I&#8217;m new to options and amazed at why we don&#8217;t hear its true advantages in the mainstream to help us average people earn more money with less risk! I&#8217;ve been learning so far from you about your trading style with your writings and training videos. I have also followed some of your new stock recommendations and added them to my portfolios and hoping to earn some income from home&hellip; Thanks.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Edralyn<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">I&#8217;m a lifetime subscriber. I know that you are right sometimes and wrong sometimes. Sometimes you are certain &ndash; other times, not so much. I expect this. It can&#8217;t be any other way. I am invested heavily in the market, with a high amount of margin. This has worked out very well, but I am now pulling back on the margin, cutting it in half the past two weeks, with the goal of zero margin within a month. I expect the next 6 to 9 months to be very good, and I will remain fully invested in a cash account.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">You are what I would call a reluctant bull. You tend to see more dangers around the corner than most, but you continue to see opportunities. I like this. I want to go to liquidate to all cash before the coming crash. Who wouldn&#8217;t? But I plan on doing so, and I am depending on you to sound the bugle for the retreat.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Jim<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful insights. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m still cautious on the gold sector&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-14131","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14131","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14131"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14131\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14131"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14131"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14131"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=14131"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=14131"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=14131"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=14131"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}