{"id":14331,"date":"2019-08-05T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2019-08-05T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=14331"},"modified":"2019-08-05T07:30:00","modified_gmt":"2019-08-05T11:30:00","slug":"why-im-buying-stocks-this-morning-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-im-buying-stocks-this-morning-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Why I\u2019m Buying Stocks This Morning"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The stock market is now set up for a nice, solid, three- or four-day bounce.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/be-prepared-for-a-buy-signal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">On Friday<\/a>, we noted the potential for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cboe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Volatility Index (VIX)<\/a> buy signal. That hasn&rsquo;t happened yet. The VIX closed above its upper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bollingerbands\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bollinger Band<\/a> again on Friday &ndash; making it three days in a row. It&rsquo;s rare for that to happen on four straight days. So, I&rsquo;m buying stocks this morning in anticipation of a VIX buy signal this afternoon.<\/p>\n<p>But, the VIX isn&rsquo;t the only indicator that&rsquo;s telling us a bounce is near.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#mcclellan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">McClellan Oscillators<\/a> (NAMO and NYMO) have also dipped into oversold territory. They&rsquo;re at levels that often mark short-term bottoms for the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the charts&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201908-mm\/20190805-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201908-mm\/20190805-MM-02.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Both the NYMO and the NAMO closed below their lower Bollinger Bands on Friday. That condition often occurs at or within a day or two of a short-term bottom for the S&amp;P 500.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The term &ldquo;short-term&rdquo; is really important here. Oftentimes, the first rally off of this condition only lasts a few days. Then the oscillators, and the stock market, roll over and head back down again.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s what happened in mid-May, the last time the oscillators looked the way they do now. The stock market enjoyed a blistering four-day bounce, where the S&amp;P gained 80 points. Then it rolled over and dropped to a lower low before establishing a more significant bottom.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s the same type of scenario I&rsquo;m looking for this week.<\/p>\n<p>Conditions are oversold enough to fuel a strong bounce in stocks that lasts for a few days. But, this isn&rsquo;t any longer the sort of market where traders can buy stocks and just leave them alone for several weeks or months.<\/p>\n<p>This is a trader&rsquo;s market. In order to profit, you have to be willing to get into a position and then get out of it just a few days later.<\/p>\n<p>Think about the essays we&rsquo;ve published here in <em>Market Minute<\/em> for the past few Mondays&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>We came into July <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/take-profits-on-any-rally-this-week\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">looking for a short-term rally<\/a>, and using it to take profits. We got a VIX sell signal a few days later and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/how-long-will-the-next-decline-last\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">we started off the next week<\/a> looking for a decline. That decline lasted only a few days. Buyers stepped up and stocks started rallying again the next week.<\/p>\n<p>But, as we got closer to the end of the month, conditions were overbought, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/heres-why-i-bought-put-options-on-friday\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">we prepared for another decline.<\/a> Now, that decline has just about run its course. And, the market is setting up for a bounce.<\/p>\n<p>Conditions are likely to look a lot different a week from now than they do today. But, that&rsquo;s great. &ldquo;Different&rdquo; conditions are what allow us to trade. This is a rough environment for the &ldquo;buy-and-hold&rdquo; crowd. But, it&rsquo;s a great environment for traders.<\/p>\n<p>So, for this week at least, I&rsquo;m buying. Next week will probably be a different story.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S.<\/strong> Like I said above, it&rsquo;s a trader&rsquo;s market right now. The typical investor&rsquo;s buy-and-hold strategy just won&rsquo;t work with current market conditions. Especially with what I see on the horizon&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>In short, I see a market crash coming. Investors could lose it all. But traders &ndash; <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT417353&#038;eid=MKT417610&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC051700&#038;email=%%emailaddr%%&#038;encryptedSnaid=%%ENCRYPTEDSNAID%%&#038;emailjobid=%%jobid%%&#038;emailname=%%emailname_%%\">especially those who use my strategy<\/a> &ndash; could make a fortune in the days and months leading up to it.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT417353&#038;eid=MKT417610&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC051700&#038;email=%%emailaddr%%&#038;encryptedSnaid=%%ENCRYPTEDSNAID%%&#038;emailjobid=%%jobid%%&#038;emailname=%%emailname_%%\">To find out how you could profit off the next market crash, read on here. <\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 0px\">Today, a subscriber comments on the service&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">I love your service and am following all of your recommendations. [To learn more about <em>Jeff Clark Trader<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT407596&#038;eid=MKT413141&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC050871&#038;email=%%emailaddr%%&#038;encryptedSnaid=%%ENCRYPTEDSNAID%%&#038;emailjobid=%%jobid%%&#038;emailname=%%emailname_%%\">click here<\/a>.] Some picks turned out to be dogs but some turned out to be home runs. Learning a lot about options and also about myself,&nbsp;which is a good thing. Wish I had found&nbsp;you&nbsp;20 years ago. Thanks.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Mark<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful insights. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I\u2019m buying stocks this morning in anticipation of a VIX buy signal this afternoon&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-14331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14331\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14331"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=14331"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=14331"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=14331"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=14331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}