{"id":14770,"date":"2019-09-16T07:30:57","date_gmt":"2019-09-16T11:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=14770"},"modified":"2019-09-16T07:30:57","modified_gmt":"2019-09-16T11:30:57","slug":"here-comes-a-golden-bounce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/here-comes-a-golden-bounce\/","title":{"rendered":"Here Comes a Golden Bounce"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The gold sector is overdue for a short-term bounce. But, after that, there&rsquo;s more downside ahead.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Let me explain&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Corrections in the gold sector typically unfold in three distinct &ldquo;legs.&rdquo; The first leg is a steep decline from the top. That&rsquo;s what we&rsquo;ve seen over the past week and a half. And, for reasons I&rsquo;ll explain in a moment, that first decline phase should end soon &ndash; like today or tomorrow &ndash; and then be followed by the second &ldquo;leg,&rdquo; which is an oversold bounce off of support.<\/p>\n<p>Once that bounce ends, then we&rsquo;ll get the third &ldquo;leg&rdquo; of the correction. That will be a deeper decline to an even lower low that exhausts the selling and eventually sets the stage for a new rally phase.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s an updated look at the chart of the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-next-move-for-the-gold-sector\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">I showed you right before the gold sector started selling off<\/a>. I&rsquo;ve added some lines indicating my best &ldquo;guess&rdquo; as to how the rest of the decline will unfold&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201909-MM\/20190916-MM-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>GDX broke its rising wedge pattern to the downside. And it sliced right through the first support level at $28. Now, the stock is approaching its second support level at about $26.25 or so. And the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#macd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MACD<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cci\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CCI<\/a> indicators at the bottom of the chart have dipped into oversold territory.<\/p>\n<p>So, there&rsquo;s a good chance we&rsquo;re nearing the end of the first leg down. And, we&rsquo;ll soon see a bounce in GDX back up towards its former support line, now resistance, near $28.<\/p>\n<p>The prospects of a bounce are supported by this 60-minute chart of GDX&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/jc-stable.s3.amazonaws.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/201909-MM\/20190916-MM-02.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>This chart shows a falling wedge pattern with positive divergence on the MACD and<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#rsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> RSI<\/a> indicators. This sort of setup often leads to a breakout to the upside. If that happens here, then GDX should be able to rally back up towards $28 or even $28.50 per share &ndash; which lines up nicely with the resistance line on the daily chart.<\/p>\n<p>Patterns on 60-minute charts tend to play out within four or five days. So, I expect we&rsquo;ll see a bounce get started in GDX sometime early this week.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Following that bounce, though, traders should be on the lookout for the third leg of the gold stock correction. As I said earlier&hellip; There&rsquo;s more downside ahead for the sector.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Today, a subscriber comments on Jeff&rsquo;s <em>Market Minute<\/em>&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">The <em>Market Minute<\/em> is so much of a boon to investors&hellip; Jeff is so precise and accurate with his technical analysis that I always look forward to receiving it. Please continue to send it to me.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Francis<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The gold sector is overdue for a short-term bounce&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-14770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14770"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14770\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14770"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=14770"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=14770"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=14770"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=14770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}