{"id":15838,"date":"2020-02-28T07:30:57","date_gmt":"2020-02-28T12:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=15838"},"modified":"2020-02-28T07:30:57","modified_gmt":"2020-02-28T12:30:57","slug":"heres-what-traders-should-be-looking-for-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/heres-what-traders-should-be-looking-for-right-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s What Traders Should be Looking for Right Now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#volatility\">Volatility<\/a> is exploding higher.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cboe\">Volatility Index<\/a> (VIX) closed Wednesday at its highest level since Christmas Eve, 2018. Stocks are falling. The market is collapsing. And folks are willing to pay huge premiums to buy put options as a hedge against even more downside.<\/p>\n<p>At times like this, traders need to remember the phrase we&rsquo;ve repeated often here in the <em>Market Minute<\/em>&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Periods of low volatility are always followed by periods of high volatility, and vice versa.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It seems like now is a good time for some of that &ldquo;vice versa.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at the following chart of the VIX&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202002\/20200228-jmu-01_zms853.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>The VIX traded above 33 at one point yesterday. And, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bollingerbands\">Bollinger Band<\/a> width (at the bottom of the chart) expanded beyond where it was on Christmas Eve, 2018 &ndash; which was arguably the best time over the past year and a half to buy stocks.<\/p>\n<p>The blue arrows point to those times over the past year and a half when the VIX closed above its upper Bollinger Band &ndash; indicating an extremely high level of volatility &ndash; AND when the Bollinger Band width (at the bottom of the chart) expanded to an extreme level.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s how the S&amp;P 500 performed following each of those occurrences&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202002\/20200228-jmu-02_zms853.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>On five of the six occasions, the S&amp;P 500 rallied immediately off of oversold conditions. But, even following the one occasion where the market continued lower &ndash; last May &ndash; stocks recovered and were sharply higher two months later.<\/p>\n<p>Volatility is high right now. The VIX is more than 100% above where it was trading just one week ago.<\/p>\n<p>Now is not the time to be betting on an even further increase in volatility. Traders should be looking for volatility to contract.<\/p>\n<p>That means traders should be looking for stocks to bottom&hellip; and start to rally from here.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Today in the mailbag, <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscriber Gary shares his feelings about being a member&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>You know, Mr. Clark, I never would have thought that a highly detailed, excellent daily financial newsletter would intermittently touch my heart so deeply.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, intermittently, your daily letter touches my heart in a most authentic and important way &ndash; a way that expands my mind. I merely, and inadequately, say thank you.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>&ndash; Gary<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And <em>Jeff Clark Trader <\/em>member Whitney, tells us about a gain she&rsquo;s made on Jeff&rsquo;s advice&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>I want to thank Jeff Clark for his recent article on GDX. The price was squeezing down and was setup for a breakout in either direction. After reading this article, the next morning I placed an<br \/>\noption strangle at the money on GDX (bought a put ATM and a call ATM). Just two days later I closed the trade for a 35% gain.<\/p>\n<p>I do enjoy reading Jeff&rsquo;s technical analysis articles &ndash; as he&rsquo;s been right so many times. All the best.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>&ndash; Whitney<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Volatility is exploding higher&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":43,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-15838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/43"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15838\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15838"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=15838"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=15838"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=15838"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=15838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}