{"id":16053,"date":"2020-04-20T07:30:08","date_gmt":"2020-04-20T11:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=16053"},"modified":"2020-04-20T07:30:08","modified_gmt":"2020-04-20T11:30:08","slug":"the-next-move-for-bitcoin-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-next-move-for-bitcoin-2\/","title":{"rendered":"The Next Move for Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Like Albert Einstein&rsquo;s younger brother, Bitcoin has been a big disappointment.<\/p>\n<p>Similar to gold, the King of Cryptocurrencies was supposed to be a stable hedge during turbulent financial times. It was supposed to provide protection against runaway central banks dropping traditional currencies from helicopters.<\/p>\n<p>But, while gold has rallied more than 6% since mid-February &ndash; when the world first started going bonkers &ndash; Bitcoin has lost more than 25%. The only financial asset that has performed worse is oil &ndash; which is down 50%.<\/p>\n<p>But, most folks can understand oil falling when the economy screeches to a halt. Most folks were hoping for something more from Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe, though, the decline in Bitcoin is a bluff. And, there&rsquo;s a big rally on the way. Let me explain&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Readers might remember how gold sold off hard along with the stock market in mid-March. The price of gold fell $200 in one week, from $1,675 an ounce to $1,475.<\/p>\n<p>The recovery has been equally as impressive. Gold traded as high as $1,770 per ounce last week.<\/p>\n<p>But the decline confused a lot of folks.<\/p>\n<p>In hindsight, since gold recovered so fast, it appears the decline was an &ldquo;if you can&rsquo;t sell what you want to, then you sell what you can&rdquo; event.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, traders, investors, and institutions who needed to raise cash in mid-March and couldn&rsquo;t justify selling their stocks chose to sell their gold instead. And, since most folks weren&rsquo;t willing to step up and buy anything in mid-March, gold took a hit.<\/p>\n<p>Since then, the price of gold has recovered. It hit a new 52-week high last week. And, it is serving its purpose as a store of value against the Fed&rsquo;s &ldquo;everyone gets a bailout&rdquo; policy.<\/p>\n<p>Today, I&rsquo;m wondering if Bitcoin&rsquo;s recovery is just delayed a bit. After all, Bitcoin is not as time-tested as gold. It&rsquo;s less liquid. And, it&rsquo;s harder to purchase.<\/p>\n<p>So, while it sold off along with gold during the liquidity-event in mid-March, and has lagged gold over the past month, maybe Bitcoin is setting up for a monster catch-up rally.<\/p>\n<p>The 60-minute chart of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) sure looks like it&rsquo;s setting up for a big move, one way or another in the weeks ahead. Take a look&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.jeffclarktrader.com\/ee-assets\/channels\/articles\/mm\/202004-MM\/20200418-MM-01.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>The recent action in GBTC has formed a consolidating triangle pattern. GBTC is approaching the apex of the pattern. So, it&rsquo;s going to break out of it &ndash; one way or another &ndash; within the next few days.<\/p>\n<p>An upside breakout projects a move up to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#resistance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">resistance<\/a> line at about $9.25. A downside break will likely lead to a move below $6.00.<\/p>\n<p>If we&rsquo;re only looking at the technical situation, then this is an even-money bet. The odds are 50\/50 that GBTC moves higher or lower.<\/p>\n<p>But, if you&rsquo;re a believer that Bitcoin is a store of value and truly a hedge against out of control central banks, then you have to be bullish on Bitcoin here.<\/p>\n<p>If GBTC breaks out to the upside, then traders can make 20% or more really fast.<\/p>\n<p>If GBTC breaks down, though, then maybe the King of Cryptocurrencies has been dethroned.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S.<\/strong>&nbsp;If you&#8217;ve watched the stock market rally these past couple weeks, thinking the worst is over&#8230; Well, I think you&#8217;re in for a surprise.<\/p>\n<p>You see, I think we&#8217;re in for an &#8220;aftershock&#8221; of the coronavirus crash&#8230; and it could take us far lower than the previous dip. It&#8217;s the &#8220;third phase&#8221; of a bear market that I&#8217;ve been warning about.<\/p>\n<p>But, you don&#8217;t have to be a victim. There will be plenty of opportunities to trade as this all plays out. Personally, I&#8217;ll be applying the same crisis playbook that allowed my readers to double their money 10 different times in the 2008 financial crisis. And what I&#8217;m seeing now suggests we&#8217;ll have even more opportunities than back then.<\/p>\n<p>This Wednesday, I&#8217;m putting on a presentation to give you the full details. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/apiservices.krxd.net\/click_tracker\/track?kxconfid=tv310ob58&#038;kxadvertiserid=%%memberid%%&#038;kxcampaignid=%%=URLEncode(emailname_)=%%&#038;clk=https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT459108&#038;eid=MKT460585&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC068293\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here to reserve your spot<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Are you bullish on Bitcoin? Let us know your thoughts, as well as any other questions or comments, at<br \/>\n<a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Like Albert Einstein\u2019s younger brother, Bitcoin has been a big disappointment&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-16053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16053"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16053\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16053"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=16053"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=16053"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=16053"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=16053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}