{"id":16301,"date":"2020-06-29T07:30:05","date_gmt":"2020-06-29T11:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=16301"},"modified":"2020-06-29T07:30:05","modified_gmt":"2020-06-29T11:30:05","slug":"bad-news-for-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/bad-news-for-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Bad News for Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The price of Bitcoin is breaking down.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s been a few weeks since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/bitcoin-is-headed-for-a-big-move-this-week\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">we last looked <\/a>at the King of Cryptocurrencies. Back then, we noted how Bitcoin was approaching the apex of a large consolidating triangle pattern. It was headed for a BIG move one way or the other. But, we didn&rsquo;t know the direction. All we knew was that it would be a big move.<\/p>\n<p>Now we know the direction. It&rsquo;s lower.<\/p>\n<p>Look at this updated chart of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC)&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202006\/20200629-jmu-01_xld665.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>Bitcoin broke down last week. The price is now below the support of its 50-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#movingaverage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">moving average<\/a> (MA &ndash; blue line) and its 9-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#ema\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">exponential moving average<\/a> (EMA &ndash; red line). So, those former <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#support\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">support<\/a> lines are now <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#resistance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">resistance<\/a> on<br \/>\nany rally attempts.<\/p>\n<p>More importantly, the 9-day EMA is about to cross below the 50-day MA. This sort of &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bearish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bearish<\/a> cross&rdquo; has often signaled the start of significant declines in Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>The black circles on the chart mark the three previous bearish crosses over the past year. Each of them led to declines of 30% or more within just a few weeks. It looks like we&rsquo;re headed for something similar this time around.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, it&rsquo;s worth pointing out that we don&rsquo;t yet have a bearish cross in the moving averages. As of Friday, the 9-day EMA was still above the 50-day MA. So, it&rsquo;s possible that if GBTC rallies sharply today we can avoid that bearish signal.<\/p>\n<p>But, it doesn&rsquo;t seem likely.<\/p>\n<p>Anything short of a big rally in Bitcoin today is going to create a bearish crossover in the moving averages. And, with the financial markets shifting from a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/if-this-happens-you-better-act-fast\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">&ldquo;risk-on&rdquo; environment to &ldquo;risk-off<\/a>,&rdquo; we&rsquo;re not likely to see a big rally in Bitcoin today.<\/p>\n<p>So, it looks like the King of Crypto is headed lower for the next few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" alt=\"jeff-signature\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In today&rsquo;s mailbag, Westley shares his trading experience&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\">I appreciate Jeff&rsquo;s explanation because I was part of the group that lost 100% on the last trade on this stock. But, I followed his guidance, put a limit order out this morning, and was able to get these trades for $.93, and I&rsquo;ve already made about 15%. I&rsquo;ll keep a close eye on this one.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><strong>&ndash; Westley<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The price of Bitcoin is breaking down&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":43,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-16301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/43"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16301"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16301\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16301"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=16301"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=16301"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=16301"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=16301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}