{"id":16725,"date":"2020-11-02T07:30:39","date_gmt":"2020-11-02T12:30:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=16725"},"modified":"2020-11-02T07:30:39","modified_gmt":"2020-11-02T12:30:39","slug":"we-have-a-buy-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/we-have-a-buy-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"We Have a Buy Signal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Stocks are headed higher this week.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, I know that sounds crazy. Most folks are expecting chaos in the stock market. After all, COVID-19 cases are spiking higher. Europe is locking down. And, major cities in the U.S. are preparing for riots following whatever happens on Election Day.<\/p>\n<p>You&rsquo;d have to be crazy to expect stocks to rally in this environment.<\/p>\n<p>Or would you?<\/p>\n<p>On Friday, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cboe\">Volatility Index<\/a> (VIX) generated a buy signal by closing back inside its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bollingerbands\">Bollinger Bands<\/a>. These sorts of buy signals have a fairly good record of happening right before solid, short-term rallies in the stock market. And, as we pointed out a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/get-ready-for-the-next-buy-signal\/\">couple of weeks ago<\/a>, VIX buy signals in October tend to lead to strong multi-week stock market rallies.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 10px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>To repeat what I wrote back then&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 rallied 9% in about nine weeks following a VIX buy signal last October. In 2018, an October VIX buy signal led to a 4% gain in the market in just three weeks. The same thing happened in 2017.<\/p>\n<p>And, in 2016, the S&amp;P 500 rallied nearly 10% in November.<\/p>\n<p>So, with Friday&rsquo;s Volatility Index buy signal, it looks to me like we&rsquo;re set up for a strong move higher this week, and perhaps for the entire month of November. The<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#intraday\"> intraday<\/a> charts of the S&amp;P 500 support that idea as well.<\/p>\n<p>For example, take a look at this 60-minute chart of the S&amp;P 500&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202011\/20201101-mm-01.png\" width=\"700\" style=\"width:100%; max-width:700px; margin: 0 auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 fell 200 points over the past week or so. As a result, technical momentum indicators &ndash; like the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#macd\">Moving Average Convergence Divergence<\/a> (MACD) and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#rsi\">Relative Strength Index<\/a> (RSI) at the bottom of the chart &ndash; dipped into extremely oversold territory.<\/p>\n<p>But, as the market plunged lower on Friday, the MACD and RSI indicators held above their previous lows. This sort of &ldquo;positive divergence&rdquo; &ndash; especially when it appears on the intraday charts &ndash; is an early warning sign of a potential bounce in the market.<\/p>\n<p>A similar setup in late September led to a 300-point rally in the S&amp;P 500 in just three weeks. It looks to me like we&rsquo;re setting up for something similar this time around.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S. <\/strong>Recently, I created a strategy to get ahead of the dominating machines that currently predict the best times to profit \u2013 causing investors to miss out on huge gains. But, <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT497103&#038;eid=MKT499507&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC083731\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">this strategy<\/a> would allow everyday investors to have a fair chance of predicting the markets.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT497103&#038;eid=MKT499507&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC083731 target=\"_blank\">Click here to find out how<\/a> I put this method to work in my premier options trading service, the <em>Delta Report<\/em>&hellip; and exactly how you could get ahead of big market moves every step of the way.<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Are you expecting chaos in the stock market this week, or will you be looking for a rally like we\u2019ve seen in the past?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and questions you may have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stocks are headed higher this week&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-16725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16725"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16725\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16725"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=16725"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=16725"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=16725"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=16725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}