{"id":18574,"date":"2021-06-18T07:30:15","date_gmt":"2021-06-18T11:30:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=18574"},"modified":"2021-06-18T07:30:15","modified_gmt":"2021-06-18T11:30:15","slug":"its-open-season-for-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/its-open-season-for-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"It&#8217;s Open Season for Gold"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gold was crushed this week.<\/p>\n<p>The shiny metal was $1,900 an ounce on Monday. It traded yesterday at $1,775.<\/p>\n<p>All of the gains from the past six weeks have been wiped out. The price of gold is negative for the year&hellip; It&rsquo;s back down to where it was at the low last December.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-could-stall-the-gold-and-silver-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">On Monday<\/a>, I pointed to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bullish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bullish<\/a> setup in the U.S. dollar and suggested a bouncing buck might cause the gold rally to stall for a bit. But, I wasn&rsquo;t expecting gold to get monkey hammered for $125 in just a few days.<\/p>\n<p>And, I sure didn&rsquo;t expect to be telling folks to buy gold this week&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>But, that&rsquo;s what I&rsquo;m doing &ndash; because it almost always pays off to buy gold when it reaches extremely oversold conditions. Gold hasn&rsquo;t been this oversold since the pandemic-inspired selloff in March of 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this chart of SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) &ndash; the ETF that tracks the price of gold &ndash; along with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cci\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Commodity Channel Index<\/a> (CCI)&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202106\/20210618-jmu-01_vxt583.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>The CCI is a momentum indicator that helps to measure overbought and oversold conditions. Typically, for GLD, readings above 200 indicate extremely overbought conditions. And, readings below -200 are extremely oversold.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The red dotted lines show each time, over the past two years, when gold reached extremely oversold levels on the CCI. In almost every instance, GLD made at least a short-term bottom and traded higher within a few days.<\/p>\n<p>In some cases &ndash; like late March of 2021 and mid-March of 2020 &ndash; gold rallied for several weeks.<\/p>\n<p>The CCI indicator for GLD reached -355 yesterday. That&rsquo;s the most oversold gold has been on this chart. In fact, it&rsquo;s the most oversold condition we&rsquo;ve seen in the past seven years. Buying gold into this sort of condition often proves profitable.<\/p>\n<p>There aren&rsquo;t any guarantees, of course. The price of gold could still fall further from here. Anything is possible.<\/p>\n<p>But, this week&rsquo;s decline in the price of gold looks to me like one of the best buying opportunities we&rsquo;ll have this year.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" alt=\"signature\"><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S. <\/strong>Not only does my colleague Eoin Treacy provide market analysis in his weekly essays, but he also gives his additional thoughts in his video segments.<\/p>\n<p>So far, he&rsquo;s discussed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/these-high-flying-growth-stocks-are-now-value-trades\/#eoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">inflation<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-metal-is-heating-up-for-a-big-rally\/#eoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bitcoin<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/real-estate-is-going-digital\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">oil<\/a>, and more. Today, he&rsquo;s sharing more on what&rsquo;s been going on this week. So, click down below to hear Eoin&rsquo;s thoughts.<\/p>\n<p><!-- EOIN BEGIN --><br \/>\n<a name=\"eoin\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Eoin&#8217;s Insights<\/h2>\n<p>Happy Friday Market Minute readers. Today, I\u2019m sharing another one of my short videos on what I currently see happening in the markets.<\/p>\n<p>So now, I\u2019ll be giving my thoughts on what the Fed said on Wednesday, where the dollar is moving, and the recent dip in gold. Just click below to watch.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative; display: block; max-width: 100%;\">\n<div style=\"padding-top: 56.25%;\">\n      <video \n        data-account=\"5102072647001\" \n        data-player=\"BJxYHdft0\" \n        data-embed=\"default\" \n        controls=\"\" \n        style=\"position: absolute; top: 0px; right: 0px; bottom: 0px; left: 0px; width: 100%; height: 100%;\" \n        data-video-id=\"6259348310001\" \n        data-playlist-id=\"\" \n        data-application-id=\"\" \n        class=\"video-js\"><br \/>\n      <\/video><br \/>\n      <script src=\"https:\/\/players.brightcove.net\/5102072647001\/BJxYHdft0_default\/index.min.js\"><\/script>\n    <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- EOIN END --><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>In today\u2019s mailbag, <em>Jeff Clark Trader<\/em> member Andy gives his thoughts on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/three-questions-for-bitcoins-next-move\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Eric\u2019s essay<\/a> about real interest rates and inflation\u2026<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>Sure, the real interest rate and inflation expectations will have an effect on metals prices. But ultimately the bankers at JP Morgan will control the price by blatant manipulation &ndash; why is the SEC in collusion to the detriment of a free and fair market?<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s get past Basel III, and if nothing happens, then I&#8217;ll sell out of my mining stocks. Keep up the great work you do.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>&ndash; Andy<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day.<\/p>\n<p>Keep them coming &ndash; and send us any questions &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I wasn\u2019t expecting to say this&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-18574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18574\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18574"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=18574"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=18574"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=18574"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=18574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}