{"id":18883,"date":"2021-08-31T07:30:37","date_gmt":"2021-08-31T11:30:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=18883"},"modified":"2021-08-31T07:30:37","modified_gmt":"2021-08-31T11:30:37","slug":"this-cutting-edge-industry-is-just-getting-started","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-cutting-edge-industry-is-just-getting-started\/","title":{"rendered":"This Cutting-Edge Industry Is Just Getting Started"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Macquarie Group is one of the leading banks with their finger on the pulse of the commodity markets through financing, trading, and investment banking operations.<\/p>\n<p>They also know what areas are attracting new capital&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Being up close and personal with global commodity companies gives them a big edge when it comes to the future of the sector.<\/p>\n<p>So, a recent interview with Macquarie Group&rsquo;s CEO Shemara Wikramanayake caught my attention&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>During the interview, she mentioned other areas the bank is interested in (besides the popular blockchain-based technologies), which gave me even more conviction about an industry that may just be getting started&hellip;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Growth Prospects Are Just Beginning for This Sector<\/h2>\n<p>Wikramanayake went on to say, &#8220;We&#8217;re doing a lot of investing in digital infrastructure, hyper-scale data centers, fiber optic networks, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-overlooked-sector-is-set-to-grow\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>precision agriculture<\/em><\/a>, and in terms of real estate, we&#8217;re investing in logistics from online shopping and digital twinning.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>I covered precision agriculture<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-overlooked-sector-is-set-to-grow\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> back in late June<\/a> after CNHI acquired Raven Technologies, where I stated:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p><em>&ldquo;These days, most investors are actively searching for the perfect inflation hedge&hellip; and precision agriculture not only provides the hedge but has the growth.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The industry is at the epicenter of all the factors driving inflationary trends forward, such as limited land, declining labor availability, and rising crop prices&hellip;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Investors may want to take advantage of this pullback by considering stocks like CNH Industrial (CNHI), Deere (DE), AGCO Corporation (AGCO), and Trimble (TRMB) for large-cap precision agriculture exposure.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Since then, Deere is up 9%, AGCO is up 11%, and Trimble is up 16%&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>We dubbed it as a perfect inflation play because of its growth prospects.<\/p>\n<p>But the growth prospects for this sector may be just beginning&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>For example, a small robotics startup called TartanSense just raised $5 million in Series A funding. TartanSense builds agricultural robots that come with AI-assisted computer vision.<\/p>\n<p>But, how does this help farmers?<\/p>\n<p>Well, simply by reducing expenses and improving incomes, TartanSense addresses two problems for farmers &ndash; poor chemical spraying techniques and unreliable farm labor.<\/p>\n<p>Their latest robot BladeRunner can &ldquo;&hellip;identify, precisely locate, and mechanically uproot undesirable weeds as well as spot spray on the desired crop &ndash; reducing chemical usage by 45% as well as increasing weeding efficiency by seven times.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>This is just one example from a small startup, but this is where the industry is going&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>And the fact that venture and private equity capital are funding small companies in this space is a good sign for bigger, more established publicly traded companies that operate in this space.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s because when venture capital takes an interest, valuations start to rise, and <em>trickle up <\/em>into the stock prices of companies like Deere, AGCO, and Trimble.<\/p>\n<p>Companies like Deere are focusing heavily on growing their precision agriculture business. This focus will ensure that investors will pay high premiums for the stock going forward&hellip; especially with a prevailing view that Deere is a precision agriculture leader.<\/p>\n<p>Aside from the market just beginning to notice this industry, the macro supply-demand picture for the agriculture sector continues to be very <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bullish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bullish<\/a> right now.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, we introduced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/dont-fear-the-reaper-when-it-comes-to-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the concept of &ldquo;roll yields<\/a>&rdquo; to track the supply-demand picture of commodity markets. Most agricultural products right now have positive roll yield, whether it&rsquo;s soybeans, corn, or the lean hog market&hellip; demand is outpacing supply.<\/p>\n<p>A major source of that demand is coming from China, which is key since China has usually focused heavily on the U.S. soybean markets.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Precision Agriculture Is a &ldquo;Growth Frontier&rdquo;<\/h2>\n<p>Companies like Deere, AGCO, and Trimble are serving markets that are in the middle of going digital&hellip; and under the radar of most investors.<\/p>\n<p>Trimble continues to see this industry as a &ldquo;growth frontier,&rdquo; especially with high commodity prices continuing to fuel positive farmer income and sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>As I mentioned before, CNHI paid about 50 times the estimated 2021 earnings for Raven.<\/p>\n<p>Although that metric can&rsquo;t be solely used to put a price target on a company like Deere, AGCO, or Trimble by itself because these companies operate in different business segments. But it gives a good look at how valuable agricultural tech is becoming.<\/p>\n<p>Even though Trimble is making all-time highs, it only trades at its median price target of $97.25. However, recent upgrades call for this company to trade at around $107.50.<\/p>\n<p>AGCO has a ton of room for upside&hellip; with the median estimate at $162.50 and upside potential around $200. It&rsquo;s currently trading at $140 per share.<\/p>\n<p>And Deere has a median estimate of $402.74, but that doesn&rsquo;t tell the whole story. A lot of these estimates need to be followed closely for <em>when <\/em>price adjustments were made. ALL of the new price target updates from August 20 were updated with a range of $425-$480.<\/p>\n<p>So, I think that all of these companies will hit their upside target potential as the market begins noticing that the future of agriculture is digital.<\/p>\n<p>Regards,<\/p>\n<p>Eric Shamilov<br \/>Contributing editor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>How do you think agricultural technology will impact the sector? Do you think more farmers should be encouraged to adopt its use?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The market is taking notice&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[13],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-18883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-eric-shamilov"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18883","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18883"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18883\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18883"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=18883"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=18883"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=18883"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=18883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}