{"id":19128,"date":"2021-11-08T07:30:24","date_gmt":"2021-11-08T12:30:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19128"},"modified":"2021-11-08T07:30:24","modified_gmt":"2021-11-08T12:30:24","slug":"this-commodity-is-about-to-take-off-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-commodity-is-about-to-take-off-again\/","title":{"rendered":"This Commodity Is About to Take off\u2026 Again"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of the best-looking trade setups in the market today is in copper.<\/p>\n<p>The price of copper exploded higher earlier this year, as the pandemic caused a supply shortage.<\/p>\n<p>And, from a risk\/reward perspective, buying copper right here at $4.32 per pound offers limited risk and plenty of potential reward.<\/p>\n<p>First, let&rsquo;s take a look at this chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; height: auto; max-width: 700px; width: 100%; margin: 0px auto;\" width=\"700\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202111\/20211108-jmu-02_shn299.png\"><\/p>\n<p>We can see copper peaked in May, at just above $4.70 per pound.<\/p>\n<p>At that price, copper was up about 50% in six months. Of course, that&rsquo;s a dramatic price increase for just about any commodity.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s spent the past six months consolidating that gain. The price action over the past few months has created a consolidating triangle pattern on the chart (blue dotted lines).<\/p>\n<p>Copper broke out of that pattern last month with an explosive move back up to the May high.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past two weeks, the price of copper has drifted back down to retest the breakout level as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#support\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">support<\/a>. It&rsquo;s also now sitting right on its 50-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#movingaverage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">moving average<\/a> (MA) line &ndash; which offers additional support.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>If copper has started a new rally phase &ndash; which I think it has &ndash; then support should hold right here near the $4.30 level. A bounce off of this level would form a &ldquo;higher low&rdquo; on the chart and confirm the start of a new rally phase.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s the same level one of my analysts recommended buying copper&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/demand-is-exceeding-supply-for-these-metals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">back in August<\/a>, calling for at least a 5-10% rally. Copper went on to rally up to around $4.80 from there.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, if support doesn&rsquo;t hold, then copper will likely be headed towards the former support line of its consolidating triangle pattern. A break below that line would kick off the start of a new decline phase.<\/p>\n<p>Traders who buy copper right here at $4.30 per pound can set a tight stop on the trade at $4.10. If the support line doesn&rsquo;t hold, and copper breaks down from here, traders can exit the position for a relatively small loss.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, if the multiple support lines hold and copper moves up from here, then it will likely surpass last month&rsquo;s high of $4.72 per pound.<\/p>\n<p>Any move symmetrical to October&rsquo;s rally would target a price near $5.00 per pound. That&rsquo;s a gain of 16% from the current price.<\/p>\n<p>By buying copper right here, traders are risking about 5% for the chance to make 16%.<\/p>\n<p>That looks like a good risk\/reward setup to me.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Which direction do you anticipate copper (or commodities in general) will start heading next?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It might\u2019ve just started a new rally phase.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19128","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19128","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19128"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19128\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19128"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19128"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19128"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19128"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19128"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19128"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19128"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}