{"id":19431,"date":"2022-02-18T07:30:56","date_gmt":"2022-02-18T12:30:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19431"},"modified":"2022-02-18T07:30:56","modified_gmt":"2022-02-18T12:30:56","slug":"atop-the-ivory-tower-gold-bulls-look-uncivilized","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/atop-the-ivory-tower-gold-bulls-look-uncivilized\/","title":{"rendered":"Atop the Ivory Tower, Gold Bulls Look Uncivilized"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&ldquo;Civilized people don&rsquo;t buy gold.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s a recent quote from American billionaire investor Charlie Munger that made me a little annoyed.<\/p>\n<p>Not only that, I felt angry and confused&hellip; followed by a wave of calmness.<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;ll get to why I feel calm about it in a bit.<\/p>\n<p>But first, let me explain my anger and confusion.<\/p>\n<p>The only reason we &ldquo;uncivilized&rdquo; people need gold is to protect us from the very institution that allowed Chuck to sit upon his ivory tower and call us uncivilized in the first place&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>I guess Chuck now <em>feels <\/em>civilized.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe it&rsquo;s because since 2009, his wealth has been manufactured by the Fed because of their (almost religious) use of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT).<\/p>\n<p>And it was that religious zeal that exposed their biggest flaw&hellip; that MMT will never cause inflation.<\/p>\n<p>It missed how us uncivilized people will ultimately react as we watch our earnings and savings lose more and more buying power.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Gold Is Rising Because It&rsquo;s Real Money<\/h2>\n<p>We uncivilized people need gold&hellip; and so will Chuck.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, there are other ways to hedge against inflation. But ultimately, people can&rsquo;t exchange their stocks, cars, and homes for things like gas, food, and clothing.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Gold is the only form of money that exists in the <em>physical<\/em> world that they can&rsquo;t erode through their new-found economic religion.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s the diehard belief that you can print money, give it away for free, and steal from the future to keep the party going&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s exactly what the Fed did. They stole from 2022 to pay for 2020 &ndash; not borrow, but outright theft.<\/p>\n<p>Except that theft will likely last longer than just 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation is as much behavioral as it is simply watching prices rise and hoping for the best.<\/p>\n<p>When we start sensing that our institutions are failing us &ndash; confirmed by prices that are getting out of control &ndash; we start to look back at all the failed experiments of prior regimes, political waves, and economic thought and want something timeless.<\/p>\n<p>Most economic theory (like MMT) misses this very simple point &ndash; that when that breaking point occurs, inflation starts to feed on itself.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s why economics is really just a practice in common sense&hellip; the good economists have it, the bad ones don&rsquo;t.<\/p>\n<p>At the end of the day, economic theory is just a collection of circumstantial evidence masquerading as statistical fact.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Which brings me to why I feel calm&hellip;<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Gold Is Here to Stay Regardless of What the Fed Wants<\/h2>\n<p>It&rsquo;s because despite what Chuck has to say, gold is doing exactly what it&rsquo;s supposed to&hellip; <em>rise.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>You see, most traders believe that when rates rise, gold falls.<\/p>\n<p>As I&rsquo;ve said <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-the-dollar-and-gold-are-in-sync\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">before<\/a>, gold will defy this relationship. And it&rsquo;s been doing just that. Take a look at the chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202202\/20220218-jmu-01_ctx150.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>That&rsquo;s because assets &ndash; especially ones that when worst comes to worst, can be used as money &ndash; are the only hedge against the dumpster fire that MMT is proving to be.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Gold Doesn&rsquo;t Need Geopolitics to Rise&hellip; It Will Rise Regardless<\/h2>\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/war-related-headlines-are-just-a-convenient-backdrop\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tuesday&rsquo;s essay<\/a>, I said that regardless of the outcome in the Ukraine\/Russia saga, gold will rise. And any pullback from Friday&rsquo;s highs is a gift to keep buying.<\/p>\n<p>Then right on cue, it pulled back 1% on Tuesday and is now trading higher than the highs on Friday (when news broke out about this Russian war that may never happen).<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices are also a proxy for geopolitical risk and are now only slightly up from last Thursday&rsquo;s pre-newsbreak levels.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, the S&amp;P 500 has been range-bound all week.<\/p>\n<p>Meaning that underneath it all, this Russia scare isn&rsquo;t really doing much to the markets&hellip; except finally reminding investors that gold prices won&rsquo;t stay at these levels for too long.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s the kind of sentiment you need to get a real push in prices.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, gold has been in a two-year bull flag pattern that&rsquo;s <em>just<\/em> starting to break out.<\/p>\n<p>As I&rsquo;ve stated earlier, gold will comfortably trade at $2,400\/oz. soon enough.<\/p>\n<p>Regards,<\/p>\n<p>Eric Shamilov<br \/>Analyst, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>In today\u2019s mailbag, <em>Jeff Clark Trader<\/em> subscriber Don shares his thoughts on inflation&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>I think the reckless policies of the Fed, Congress, and the resultant inflation could easily cause gold to be over $3,500 and silver over $100 within three years or less.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>&ndash; Don K.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Did He Just Say What I think He Said?&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[13],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-eric-shamilov"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19431\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19431"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19431"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19431"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19431"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}