{"id":19518,"date":"2022-03-16T07:30:45","date_gmt":"2022-03-16T11:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19518"},"modified":"2022-03-16T07:30:45","modified_gmt":"2022-03-16T11:30:45","slug":"the-oldest-index-is-setting-up-for-a-new-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-oldest-index-is-setting-up-for-a-new-move\/","title":{"rendered":"The Oldest Index Is Setting up for a New Move"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, I wrote about how <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/when-history-repeats-itself-so-does-the-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the S&amp;P 500 is setting up for a potentially explosive breakout<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>My analysis suggests that many of the other broader equity indexes are also setting up for sharp reversals.<\/p>\n<p>So today, we&rsquo;ll look at the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA)&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>The DJTA is the oldest stock market index in use today &ndash; even older than its more famous cousin, the Dow Jones Industrial Average.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s also the most widely recognized gauge of the transportation sector&hellip; including stocks like FedEx, UPS, Union Pacific, and American Airlines.<\/p>\n<p>(If you&rsquo;d like a comprehensive overview of all the stocks included in the DJTA, just follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/investing\/index\/djt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">this link<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Now that we&rsquo;ve covered the basics of the DJTA, let&rsquo;s get into the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bullish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bullish<\/a> pattern I see on its price chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202203\/20220316-jmu-01_bgt263.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>I&rsquo;ve highlighted three key things from this chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p>The red horizontal range lines between 16,418 and 16,588 is my initial upside target (1). The DJTA broke down from this range back in November 2021. Since then, it&rsquo;s gone on to test it as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#resistance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">resistance<\/a> in December and January.<\/p>\n<p> If prices successfully break higher, then there&rsquo;s a strong likelihood that we&rsquo;ll test this range once more. If the index can successfully punch through it, then I&rsquo;ll provide an update with my next set of targets.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Next is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bullish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bullish<\/a> price pattern I had mentioned earlier. The pattern is an inverted head and shoulders formation, and they typically take shape near market bottoms.<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;ve labelled the left shoulder, the head, and the right shoulder, and the neckline of the pattern using a blue line (2).<\/p>\n<p>Once prices break out above the neckline, the pattern is considered complete&hellip; and so long as prices don&rsquo;t break below the head of the pattern, this setup will remain valid.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Finally, we have <em>bullish divergence<\/em> take shape in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#rsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/a> at the lower portion of the chart (3). Bullish divergence occurs when prices continue to make new lows, but the indicator starts to make new highs.<\/p>\n<p>The RSI bottomed out on February 24 and has been trending higher since. This is the kind of supporting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#technical analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">technical analysis<\/a> I like to see when assessing a potential market bottom.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The combination of this inverse head and shoulders pattern with the bullish RSI divergence has a lot of promise.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, all eyes will be on the FOMC meeting taking place later this afternoon&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>But if the market reacts positively to the meeting, then I can see this trade playing out quickly.<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading,<\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<br \/>Analyst, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>How has looking at the technical analysis of an index helped you profit from it?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s three important factors at play&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19518","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19518","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19518"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19518\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19518"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19518"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19518"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19518"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}