{"id":19522,"date":"2022-03-17T07:30:54","date_gmt":"2022-03-17T11:30:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19522"},"modified":"2022-03-17T07:30:54","modified_gmt":"2022-03-17T11:30:54","slug":"the-pain-for-bank-stocks-is-ending","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-pain-for-bank-stocks-is-ending\/","title":{"rendered":"The Pain for Bank Stocks Is Ending"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The financial sector is gearing up for a rally.<\/p>\n<p>Bank stocks have been leading the market lower over the past month. The KBW Bank Index (BKX) traded near 145 in early February.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, it hit 120. That&rsquo;s a 17% drop in over one month. It&rsquo;s caused a lot of pain among investors who thought the Fed&rsquo;s shift to raise interest rates was good for the banks.<\/p>\n<p>But that pain is about to end&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>The bullish percent index for the financial sector (BPFINA) just turned higher from oversold conditions. It&rsquo;s on the verge of triggering a buy signal for the bank stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Look at this chart of the BPFINA&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202203\/20220317-jmu-01_fvt583.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>Long-time readers know that a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bpi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bullish percent index<\/a> (BPI) shows the percentage of stocks in a sector that are trading in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bullish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bullish<\/a> technical patterns. It&rsquo;s an easy way to measure overbought and oversold conditions for a sector.<\/p>\n<p>Typically, a reading above 80 &ndash; meaning 80% of the stocks are trading in bullish technical patterns &ndash; indicates a sector is overbought. Readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Buy and sell signals occur when a BPI reaches extreme levels and then reverses.<\/p>\n<p>For example, when a BPI rallies above 80 and then turns lower, it generates a sell signal. When a BPI dips below 30 and then turns higher, that&rsquo;s usually time to buy. At least&hellip; those are the general rules.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>But each sector trades a bit differently. And, in the case of the financials, the 20-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#ema\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">exponential moving average<\/a> (EMA &ndash; blue line) plays a key role in this chart.<\/p>\n<p>On the chart above, the BPFINA rallied to 80 in early February. Then, it turned lower and fell below the 20-day EMA. That action <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/another-sector-on-the-verge-of-a-sell-signal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">generated a sell signal<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>That proved to be an excellent time to sell the bank stocks.<\/p>\n<p>You can also see that the financial sector got quite oversold last week when the BPFINA fell below 30. It has since turned higher. And, when it climbs above its 20-day EMA, it&rsquo;ll trigger a new buy signal.<\/p>\n<p>The last time we saw similar conditions was back in October 2020 (blue circle on the chart above). That buy signal kicked off a three-month rally that boosted the bank index 38%.<\/p>\n<p>Traders should pay attention to this chart, because when the BPFINA climbs above its 20-day EMA, bank stocks will be ready to rally.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" alt=\"signature\"><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>Have you been feeling the pain from bank stocks? Will you be buying into the rally?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Traders should pay attention to this&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19522"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19522\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19522"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19522"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19522"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19522"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}