{"id":19563,"date":"2022-03-30T07:30:41","date_gmt":"2022-03-30T11:30:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19563"},"modified":"2022-03-30T07:30:41","modified_gmt":"2022-03-30T11:30:41","slug":"this-favorite-pattern-almost-always-explodes-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-favorite-pattern-almost-always-explodes-higher\/","title":{"rendered":"Why This Market Compression Means a Big Move"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Over the weekend, an unexpected price chart caught my eye&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;m talking about the iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (ITA).<\/p>\n<p>According to iShares.com, ITA provides investors exposure to U.S. companies that manufacture commercial and military aircraft and other defense equipment.<\/p>\n<p>Among the ETF&rsquo;s top holdings are stocks like Raytheon (RTX), Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT), and Boeing (BA)&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>(If you&rsquo;d like more information on this ETF, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ishares.com\/us\/products\/239502\/ishares-us-aerospace-defense-etf\">here is a link to the iShares website<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>It caught my eye because it looks like ITA is gearing up for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bullish\">bullish<\/a> run to test its previous all-time highs of 119.90.<\/p>\n<p>But first, let&rsquo;s look at the price chart to see the setup I&rsquo;m talking about&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG START --><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; height: auto; max-width: 560px; width: 100%; margin: 0px auto;\" width=\"560\" alt=\"chart\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202203\/20220330-JMU-03_ppo000.png\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px;\" align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202203\/20220330-JMU-03_ppo000.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(Click here to expand image)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--IMG ENDS --><\/p>\n<p>There are two key features I&rsquo;ve highlighted on this price chart:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p>This is the prior all-time high at 119.90 from February 2020 (horizontal red line). <\/p>\n<p> This price level is my expected upside target on this technical setup.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The second feature are the three moving averages &ndash; the 20, 50, and 200-period moving averages (MA \u2013 blue, red, and green squiggly lines).<\/p>\n<p> And now, they&rsquo;re completing one of my favorite technical patterns that I call moving average compression.<\/p>\n<p> This kind of compression occurs when prices trade sideways for an extended time. Then, all the moving averages will clump together and go flat. That&rsquo;s what\u2019s happened since the start of 2022.<\/p>\n<p> But what&rsquo;s more exciting is what the pattern tells us about what&rsquo;s next&hellip;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Let me explain further&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><!--TABLE STARTS --><\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#EEEEEE\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top: 20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><!--TABLE ENDS --><\/p>\n<p>I love this pattern because it almost always results in a big move.<\/p>\n<p>When the moving averages compress, it&rsquo;s like the market becomes a coiled spring&hellip; ready to explode and release all that energy immediately.<\/p>\n<p> And it looks like that moment has finally arrived&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>You can see how prices have recently shot higher and started to distance themselves from the moving averages.<\/p>\n<p>The momentum that&rsquo;s built up over the last few months of sideways trading should be enough to get the ETF back to its all-time high.<\/p>\n<p>And I&rsquo;m going to keep a close eye on it.<\/p>\n<p>Happy Trading,<\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<br \/>Analyst, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>In today\u2019s mailbag, <em>Jeff Clark Trader<\/em> member Daniel thanks Jeff&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>Hello Jeff, it was by sheer luck that I opened the referral email from &#8220;Breakthrough Investor&#8221; with your interview on the One Stock Retirement. I&#8217;m retired with only a small amount of money to invest, but I do have time to spend (life can be boring, as you said, in retirement).<\/p>\n<p>There&rsquo;s so much advice&hellip; my inbox is overloaded with comments and more than I can process. Your approach is so refreshing, sensible, intelligent, and practical for the average person like me who doesn&rsquo;t wish to become a fulltime investor but realizes that sitting on the sidelines doesn&#8217;t make sense either. And playing it safe really won&#8217;t get me anywhere before I die.<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;m anxiously beginning to study your training, which on its face seems very right. I hope my first impression of your motivation, skill, and intelligent approach proves to be real.<\/p>\n<p>I believe in leading, observing, volunteering, and encouraging and I&rsquo;m anxious to see if you&rsquo;re exemplary of this. You certainly seem to be. Thank you for being a leader who has observed and learned for years and is now volunteering your assistance, training, and expertise as you encourage the rest of us with hope.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-align: right\"><strong>&ndash; Daniel M.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And <em>Market Minute<\/em> subscriber Mercy shares her thoughts on financial freedom&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>I&rsquo;ve always been very afraid of retiring &#8220;poor.&#8221; Your story is extremely encouraging and the promise of the possibility of financial freedom and a &ldquo;relaxed&rdquo; retirement makes it even better. Best wishes!<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-align: right\"><strong>&ndash; Mercy N.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It has caught my eye. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19563"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19563\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19563"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19563"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19563"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19563"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}