{"id":19588,"date":"2022-04-06T07:30:13","date_gmt":"2022-04-06T11:30:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19588"},"modified":"2022-04-06T07:30:13","modified_gmt":"2022-04-06T11:30:13","slug":"this-is-a-key-move-for-a-bitcoin-bull-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-is-a-key-move-for-a-bitcoin-bull-run\/","title":{"rendered":"This Is a Key Move for a Bitcoin Bull Run"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin topped out in late 2021, along with the rest of the broader equity markets.<\/p>\n<p>But unlike the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq &ndash; which have declined 14.6% and 22.3%, respectively, bitcoin has had a larger pullback of 52%.<\/p>\n<p>Volatile swings in the cryptocurrency market are nothing unusual.<\/p>\n<p>For example, bitcoin made a high in December  2017 at $19,891. A year later, the cryptocurrency was trading at $3,128&hellip; that&rsquo;s an 84% selloff!<\/p>\n<p>And since then, bitcoin has rallied an astonishing 2,105%.<\/p>\n<p>For bitcoin investors, it truly does seem that there can&rsquo;t be gains without some pains&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>One key to successfully investing in cryptocurrency is understanding where the market is currently trading in the broader cycle.<\/p>\n<p>My analysis tells me that the current <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bearish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bearish<\/a> cycle may have already bottomed out and we&rsquo;re now preparing for a run to new all-time highs.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, timing market bottoms can be tricky to get right. That&rsquo;s why I want the market to prove to me that it&rsquo;s getting ready to change course.<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately, now I&rsquo;m seeing the initial signs that bitcoin is starting to do just that.<\/p>\n<p>So first, let me walk you through a daily price chart of bitcoin shown below&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202204\/20220406-jmu-01_xak545.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>There are two important things going on with this price chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p>$44,538 is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#resistance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">resistance<\/a> level that&rsquo;s managed to put a lid on any rallies in bitcoin since the beginning of the year (horizontal red line).<\/p>\n<p>The market has tried to test this level several times without being able to successfully break through.<\/p>\n<p>But that changed last week, when crypto <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bullish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bulls<\/a> were finally able to take prices through this key level.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s important to remember this age-old concept of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#technical analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">technical analysis<\/a>: broken <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#support\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">support<\/a> will serve as future resistance, and broken resistance will serve as future support.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s what&rsquo;s going on with bitcoin now. I expect prices to pull back in the short term to test the broken resistance level of $44,538. Then, we&rsquo;ll see if it&rsquo;ll hold as a supportive floor for prices.<\/p>\n<p>If bitcoin can stay above this level, then it makes sense to maintain a bullish stance in this market.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>The second feature of this price chart is how bitcoin has currently managed to trade above its 20- and 50-period moving averages for several days in a row (blue and red squiggly lines).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>On the left side of the chart, notice that once the selloff in bitcoin really picked up steam prices remained firmly below both of these moving averages.<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;d expect that behavior from a market once a strong trend is underway. The fact that bitcoin is now able to trade above those same moving averages is encouraging news for the cryptocurrency market.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>These two pieces of technical evidence tell me that bitcoin may have already bottomed out&hellip; and the next bull run is already underway.<\/p>\n<p>Next, we need to see if the market can hold that key level of $44,538.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;ll be the first line of defense that bulls will be looking towards. The second is whether bitcoin can keep its head above the 20- and 50-period moving averages.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, bitcoin is interesting because prices are still trading around 30% off its all-time high of $69,000.<\/p>\n<p>That means there&rsquo;s exciting potential upside ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Happy Trading,<\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<br \/>Analyst, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>What are your thoughts on cryptocurrencies? Do you think bitcoin will keep heading higher long term?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Remember this age-old concept&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19588","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19588"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19588\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19588"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19588"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19588"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19588"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19588"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19588"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19588"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}