{"id":19704,"date":"2022-05-09T07:30:53","date_gmt":"2022-05-09T11:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19704"},"modified":"2022-05-09T07:30:53","modified_gmt":"2022-05-09T11:30:53","slug":"this-bounce-might-stick-this-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-bounce-might-stick-this-time\/","title":{"rendered":"This Bounce Might Stick This Time"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Andrew&rsquo;s note<\/strong>: In just a couple of days, Jeff will present one of the most reliable strategies of his career to help protect your retirement&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s all thanks to a <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT628241&amp;eid=MKT632165&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC139973\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">44-day long market phenomenon<\/a> that\u2019s guaranteed to happen. In these volatile times, being a buy-and-hold investor is no longer viable\u2026 to protect your money now you\u2019ve got to be in and out of the market with quick trades.<\/p>\n<p>Jeff will go in-depth on this 44-day market window during his presentation on Wednesday, May 11 at 8 p.m. ET. This could be the key to securing a profitable retirement, so <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT628241&amp;eid=MKT632165&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC139973\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here sign up for FREE<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><strong>By Jeff Clark, editor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s try it again&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>The past two Mondays, we took a look at the oversold conditions in the stock market, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-rubber-band-always-snaps-back\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sky-high put\/call ratio<\/a>, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-setup-shows-were-not-far-away-from-a-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">overwhelmingly bearish investor sentiment<\/a> (a contrary indicator), and we figured the market was ready to put on a strong oversold bounce.<\/p>\n<p>And, for each of the past two weeks, we got that bounce. But it was short-lived.<\/p>\n<p>Stocks gave up their gains. And the S&amp;P 500 finished the weeks lower than where it started.<\/p>\n<p>Today, we&rsquo;re looking at a similar situation to what we saw the past two Mondays. The stock market is oversold. The CBOE put\/call ratio Is high. And investor sentiment is wildly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#bearish\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bearish<\/a>. So, yes, I&rsquo;m looking for a bounce.<\/p>\n<p>But there are a couple of minor, subtle differences to last Friday&rsquo;s action that have me thinking a bounce this week could hold up.<\/p>\n<p>Let me explain&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>On the previous two Fridays, the stock market sold off hard. The selling pressure was constant during each of those sessions. And the selling intensified closer to the closing bell.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 closed on its lows on the previous two Fridays. Buyers weren&rsquo;t willing to step up and add long exposure going into a weekend. And sellers took whatever they could get.<\/p>\n<p>It was different last Friday&hellip; Despite stocks trending lower all day, buyers stepped up in the final thirty minutes of the session.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P was trading at 4090 late Friday afternoon. It looked like we were setting up for another push lower to finish the week.<\/p>\n<p>But then, for whatever reason, buyers showed up. The S&amp;P 500 rallied 33 points in 30 minutes.<\/p>\n<p>The market still closed lower on the day. But it closed well off of its lows. And that&rsquo;s a big difference from what occurred the previous two weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Another subtle, but important distinction, occurred in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#cboe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Volatility Index (VIX)<\/a>&hellip;<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 10px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The VIX usually moves counter to the market. In other words, when the market rallies the VIX falls. And, when the market falls, the VIX rallies.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, on the two previous Fridays, as the stock market fell, the VIX popped higher. But that changed last Friday.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 finished the session down 23 points. The VIX, however, fell too. It finished the session more than 3% below where it started.<\/p>\n<p>Often, whenever the VIX falls along with the stock market, the stock market manages to recover in the days ahead.<\/p>\n<p>None of this means we&rsquo;re headed for a rip-roaring rally back to new all-time highs. That&rsquo;s not likely to happen anytime soon.<\/p>\n<p>But just as we were set up for a bounce last week, and the week before, we look set up for another one again this week.<\/p>\n<p>And this time&hellip; it just might stick.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S.<\/strong> With inflation on the rise with no end in sight, many folks are worried that they\u2019ll fall behind on their retirement plans.<\/p>\n<p>Luckily, there\u2019s a strange market phenomenon that\u2019s triggered by a federal law coming up in just a couple of days&#8230; which could <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT628241&amp;eid=MKT632165&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC139975\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">help you accelerate your retirement<\/a> even in this volatile market.<\/p>\n<p>You could double your money, or more, dozens of times during this 44-day period\u2026 no matter what\u2019s happening in the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re just days away from this window&#8230; So don&#8217;t miss my special briefing on <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT628241&amp;eid=MKT632165&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC139975\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wednesday, May 11 at 8 p.m. ET.<\/a> I\u2019ll even give away three stock names that I\u2019ll be targeting during this window to those who attend.<\/p>\n<h2 align=\"center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Which way do you think the market will head next?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are signs that this could hold up&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19704","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19704"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19704\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19704"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19704"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19704"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19704"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19704"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19704"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19704"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}