{"id":19758,"date":"2022-05-26T07:30:23","date_gmt":"2022-05-26T11:30:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19758"},"modified":"2022-05-26T07:30:23","modified_gmt":"2022-05-26T11:30:23","slug":"bold-investors-are-turning-bullish-for-junk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/bold-investors-are-turning-bullish-for-junk\/","title":{"rendered":"Bold Investors Are Turning Bullish for Junk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Investors are buying junk again, and that&rsquo;s good news for the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>When we last looked at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-ultimate-market-barometer-signals-a-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">high-yield bonds<\/a>, they were selling off hard.The iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bonds Fund (HYG) was down 6% for 2022 &ndash; an enormous move in three months for a bond fund.<\/p>\n<p>And since the action in junk bonds tends to lead the action in the broad stock market by anywhere from two days to two weeks&hellip; it wasn&rsquo;t surprising that the stock market began 2022 with a hard sell-off as well.<\/p>\n<p>But by mid-March, junk bonds started to show some bullish action. Back then I wrote, <em>&ldquo;If high-yield bonds start to rally, then a stock market rally shouldn&rsquo;t be far behind.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>And that&#8217;s exactly what happened&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Over the next two weeks, the S&amp;P 500 gained 10%. Now let&rsquo;s look at HYG&#8217;s situation today&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202205\/20220526-jmu-01_aku148.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>From its April high to its May low, HYG dropped about 8% (blue arrows). That&rsquo;s a huge decline for a bond fund in just six weeks.<\/p>\n<p>During that same timeframe, the S&amp;P 500 lost 14%.<\/p>\n<p>But by the middle of last week, HYG was grossly oversold &ndash; even more so than at its March bottom.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Since then, investors have started to come back into the junk bond market.<\/p>\n<p>Today, HYG is trading at about 2% higher than where it was last week. Although that&rsquo;s not a huge move, it&#8217;s the first bullish action we&#8217;ve seen in the junk bond market in the past six weeks.<\/p>\n<p>And this is a sign that investors&rsquo; appetites for risk may be improving. Junk bonds may be telling us that a significant, intermediate-term bottom is nearby.<\/p>\n<p>If high-yield bonds can build on this week&rsquo;s strength, then a stock market rally shouldn&rsquo;t be far behind.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<table style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" height=\"77\" alt=\"signature\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\">Reader Mailbag<\/h2>\n<p>In today&rsquo;s mailbag, a new <em>Earnings Trader<\/em> member thanks Jeff for his insights&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>Hello Jeff, I&rsquo;m brand new to trading options and just purchased your <em>Earnings Trader<\/em> service. I have followed your <em>Market Minute<\/em> for two years. Thank you for your great service and terrific market insight. I find your sector predictions to be very accurate. Well done!<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s not easy getting approved to trade options. I&rsquo;m still waiting for my account to be approved for trading anything beyond buying and selling puts. As I learn more from your videos and alerts, I&rsquo;m getting very excited to buy and sell call options.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>&ndash; Michael P.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We haven\u2019t seen this action in a while&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19758"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19758\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19758"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19758"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19758"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19758"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}