{"id":19949,"date":"2022-07-27T07:30:50","date_gmt":"2022-07-27T11:30:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=19949"},"modified":"2022-07-27T07:30:50","modified_gmt":"2022-07-27T11:30:50","slug":"the-yen-hasnt-seen-these-levels-in-over-two-decades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-yen-hasnt-seen-these-levels-in-over-two-decades\/","title":{"rendered":"The Yen Hasn\u2019t Seen These Levels in Over Two Decades"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This month, I&rsquo;ve been focusing on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-is-currently-the-hottest-market-to-trade-in\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">foreign exchange trading market<\/a> (forex or FX).<\/p>\n<p>My analysis shows forex is currently the best asset class for active traders.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, volatility is very high and this presents great opportunities for skilled traders to exploit.<\/p>\n<p>Today, we&rsquo;ll look at an opportunity in the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen currency pair (USD\/JPY).<\/p>\n<p>USD\/JPY had a monstrous move this year, with the dollar appreciating over 21% relative to the yen.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s mainly due to the vast difference in monetary policy between the two countries.<\/p>\n<p>On the one hand, the Fed is firmly committed to raising interest rates to bring inflation back under control.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has recently released a statement maintaining their commitment to ultra-low rates.<\/p>\n<p>This divergence in policy has resulted in the yen weakening to levels not seen since 1998.<\/p>\n<p>When there&rsquo;s a large spread between the interest rates of two currencies, it&rsquo;s usually a forex trader&rsquo;s dream.<\/p>\n<p>Typically, you want to go long on the currency with the higher interest rate while going short on the currency with the lower interest rate.<\/p>\n<p>And that&rsquo;s why many amateur forex traders were surprised when USD\/JPY dropped by almost 1% on Friday&hellip; shortly after the BOJ reiterated its commitment to keeping rates low.<\/p>\n<p>But here&rsquo;s what&rsquo;s really going on&hellip;<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The market is essentially calling the BOJ&rsquo;s bluff. They know that the BOJ can&rsquo;t keep interest rates this low forever.<\/p>\n<p>Eventually, they&rsquo;ll have to succumb to the same inflationary pressures that have driven the U.S. Fed to change course and start hiking rates.<\/p>\n<p>Friday&rsquo;s price action tells me the market thinks the BOJ will make this pivot sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, Friday&rsquo;s trading has seen USD\/JPY break out of a key technical pattern.<\/p>\n<p>Now, let&rsquo;s look at this four-hour price chart of USD\/JPY to see what I mean&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202207\/20220727-jmu-01_xsa366.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>The technical pattern on the chart is a rising wedge (blue lines).<\/p>\n<p>A rising wedge is a reversal pattern. Once prices break below the support line of the wedge, they&rsquo;ll typically travel a minimum distance back to the beginning of the pattern.<\/p>\n<p>In the case of USD\/JPY, that would mean prices falling back down to the 132-yen handle (Target #1).<\/p>\n<p>In other words, if we trade down to 132 yen, then it&rsquo;ll take 132 Japanese yen to equal one U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s a big move for a currency pair to make.<\/p>\n<p>An approximate 3% slide in the value of the dollar relative to the yen would be a great trade to capture.<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading,<\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<br \/>Analyst, <em>Market Minute <\/em><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Have you traded forex before? If so, what was your experience?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s a vast difference in monetary policy between the two countries&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-19949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19949\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19949"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=19949"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=19949"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=19949"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=19949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}