{"id":20032,"date":"2022-08-22T07:30:14","date_gmt":"2022-08-22T11:30:14","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2022-08-22T07:30:14","modified_gmt":"2022-08-22T11:30:14","slug":"is-there-trouble-ahead-for-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/is-there-trouble-ahead-for-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Is There Trouble Ahead for Bitcoin?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The next few weeks could be tough for crypto currency bulls.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin has had a good run going over the past several weeks. After bottoming near $19,000 per coin in mid-June, the &ldquo;King of Cryptos&rdquo; traded above $25,000 early last week.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s a solid 31% rally off the bottom. And that action had the crypto-faithful fans shouting &ldquo;to the moon&rdquo; once again&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>But Friday&rsquo;s 11% drop killed the rally.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is still trading well above the mid-June bottom. But Friday&rsquo;s decline caused a lot of damage to the chart.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look&hellip;<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; height: auto; max-width: 700px; width: 100%; margin: 0px auto;\" width=\"700\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202208\/20220822-mm-01_wli345.png\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px;\" align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202208\/20220822-mm-01_wli345.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(Click here to expand image)<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The blue squares on the chart illustrate each time the short-term, 9- and 20-day exponential moving averages (EMA &ndash; red and green lines) crossed above the 50-day moving average (MA &ndash; blue line).<\/p>\n<p>This &ldquo;bullish cross&rdquo; often indicates the start of a multi-week rally phase.<\/p>\n<p>You can see how bitcoin popped higher in the weeks and months following the bullish crosses in 2000 and 2021.<\/p>\n<p>But the bullish cross earlier this year failed. After a brief pop higher, bitcoin rolled over and fell below all three of its moving averages lines.<\/p>\n<p>The decline was severe enough that the short-term moving averages dropped back below the 50-day MA &ndash; thereby creating a &ldquo;bearish cross.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The price of bitcoin fell 50% in two months following the bearish cross in April.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Up until last Friday, the chart of bitcoin looked quite constructive.<\/p>\n<p>The King of Cryptos was trading above all three of its moving average lines. And the moving averages had completed a bullish cross just last month. That&rsquo;s typically a good sign that bitcoin is headed higher.<\/p>\n<p>But that changed on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>Now, with bitcoin trading below its various moving averages, the action looks similar to what happened in April.<\/p>\n<p>If bitcoin can rally immediately, regain what it lost on Friday, and pop back above its MAs then there&rsquo;s no problem. The chart still shows a bullish cross and the odds will favor a rally over the next several weeks.<\/p>\n<p>But if bitcoin stays below its various MAs for more than a few days, then that action will pull the short-term 9- and 20-day EMAs below the 50-day MA &ndash; creating another bearish cross.<\/p>\n<p>That would likely lead to much lower prices for bitcoin (and the rest of the cryptocurrencies) over the next several weeks and months.<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<table style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" height=\"77\" alt=\"signature\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>What&rsquo;s your prediction for bitcoin&#8217;s next move?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Friday\u2019s decline caused a lot of damage\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20032"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20032\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20032"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20032"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20032"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20032"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}