{"id":20151,"date":"2022-10-03T07:30:23","date_gmt":"2022-10-03T11:30:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20151"},"modified":"2022-10-03T07:30:23","modified_gmt":"2022-10-03T11:30:23","slug":"risk-off-sentiment-is-impacting-these-three-major-currencies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/risk-off-sentiment-is-impacting-these-three-major-currencies\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cRisk-Off\u201d Sentiment Is Impacting These Three Major Currencies"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, I mentioned there are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-personalities-of-the-eight-majors-in-this-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">eight major currencies<\/a> in the forex world.<\/p>\n<p>Today I want to go into my trading process and take a look at a recent trade of mine.<\/p>\n<p>The first thing I do is group these major currencies into four different categories. This makes it easier to figure out where the best opportunities will be.<\/p>\n<p>The first category contains three of those eight majors called &ldquo;growth currencies,&rdquo; because they tend to trade closely with other risk assets.<\/p>\n<p>They are the:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p>Australian dollar (Aussie)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>New Zealand dollar (Kiwi)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Canadian dollar (Loonie)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>When the market is feeling &ldquo;risk-on,&rdquo; investors will flock to things like stocks, cryptocurrencies, high-yield bonds, and the growth currencies.<\/p>\n<p>Another reason they&rsquo;re known as growth currencies is because each of their respective economies export large amounts of commodities.<\/p>\n<p>For example, Australia is a significant exporter of industrial metals and gold, particularly to China &ndash; its largest trading partner.<\/p>\n<p>New Zealand&rsquo;s major exports include livestock, agricultural products, and metals.<\/p>\n<p>And Canada is famous for its large oil reserves and timber industry.<\/p>\n<p>You see, businesses and governments need these raw materials to build infrastructure and expand operations. This happens when the world is optimistic on the prospects of continued growth and prosperity.<\/p>\n<p>But these days, the world is feeling anything but optimistic. &ldquo;Risk-off&rdquo; sentiment has a firm grip on the markets around the world.<\/p>\n<p>When the market is feeling risk-off, they&rsquo;ll look to sell their growth investments and move into safe havens like the U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s this sentiment that I was looking to take advantage of when I opened a trade on the Australian dollar on September 15.<\/p>\n<p>If you had followed that recommendation, you could&rsquo;ve made $2,000 in just five days. (If that kind of return interests you, stayed tuned. I&rsquo;ve got some exciting news coming soon.)<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s look at a price chart of the Australian dollar\/U.S. dollar (AUD\/USD) currency pair below to see what I mean&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"text-center mb-4\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202210\/20221003-jmu-01_typ597.png\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"img-fluid\" \/><\/div>\n<p>I identified this head and shoulders pattern a week before the last Fed meeting.<\/p>\n<p>Regular readers will know the head and shoulders pattern is one of my <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-superpower-helps-you-predict-the-markets-next-move\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">favorite technical setups<\/a> with its three key defining features &ndash; the left shoulder, the head, and the right shoulder.<\/p>\n<p>The pattern is complete once prices break and close below the neckline &ndash; as they did in late September.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The neckline (blue line) is a trendline that connects the bottom points of the left and right shoulders. What typically follows the completion of this pattern is a powerful move that continues below the neckline.<\/p>\n<p>And that&rsquo;s exactly what happened in this case with AUD\/USD. I shorted the Australian dollar, anticipating it to move lower.<\/p>\n<p>The burst of volatility from the September 21 Fed meeting drove the trade deep into profitable territory. In fact, the overall volatility in forex is proving that it&rsquo;s one of the most profitable markets to currently be in.<\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, I&rsquo;ll cover another one of the major currencies that I love to trade.<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;ll go over its unique personality and tendencies before breaking down how to trade it.<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading,<\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<br \/>Analyst, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Are you interested in trading any of these major currencies? If so, what questions do you have about forex?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Their respective economies export large amounts of commodities&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20151","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20151","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20151"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20151\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20151"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20151"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20151"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20151"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}