{"id":20209,"date":"2022-10-17T07:30:09","date_gmt":"2022-10-17T11:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20209"},"modified":"2022-10-17T07:30:09","modified_gmt":"2022-10-17T11:30:09","slug":"the-hottest-this-market-has-been-in-over-14-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-hottest-this-market-has-been-in-over-14-years\/","title":{"rendered":"The Hottest This Market Has Been in Over 14 Years"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>While stock market investors are cursing the Fed, forex traders have never been happier.<\/p>\n<p>It turns out that the Fed is little more than a drug dealer.<\/p>\n<p>And over the last 14 years they&rsquo;ve been pushing the most addictive drug of all &ndash; money.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed&rsquo;s answer to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) was to drop interest rates to nearly 0%.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the central bank printed trillions of new dollars that would circulate through the system.<\/p>\n<p>This &#8220;one-two punch&rdquo; was supposed to get the economy off life support. And it worked wonders&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Businesses quickly ramped up hiring, and the unemployment rate dropped from a peak of almost 10% in 2010 to a low of 3.67% by 2019.<\/p>\n<p>We all know what happened next&hellip; the world shut down as COVID-19 spread like wildfire&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>The Fed responded by doubling down on its 2008-era policies. They dropped rates to rock-bottom levels once again and printed more money than ever before.<\/p>\n<p>In doing so, they set the stage for the forex market to make its big comeback.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s why this is the best trading environment I&rsquo;ve ever seen for forex.<\/p>\n<p>There are big moves in all the major currencies almost every week. That means countless opportunities to make great returns.<\/p>\n<p>You see, interest rates are crucially important to forex traders.<\/p>\n<p>More specifically, forex traders are happiest when there are big differences between the interest rates of the major currencies.<\/p>\n<p>In a post-2008 world, with interest rates so low for all the major currencies, forex trading virtually died off. Many forex-focused hedge funds closed shop and moved to other asset classes.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s because it&rsquo;s easier for central banks to lower interest rates than it is to raise them.<\/p>\n<p>And virtually every major central bank dropped their interest rates to near 0% after the GFC &ndash; just like in the aftermath of the pandemic crash.<\/p>\n<p>When every currency&rsquo;s interest rate is at the same level, there&rsquo;s very little incentive for traders to want to own one currency over another.<\/p>\n<p>But when one currency has a relatively high interest rate, and another currency has a very low interest rate, that&rsquo;s when forex traders get excited.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s exactly what&rsquo;s going on right now. To fight surging inflation, central banks are realizing that they must change course.<\/p>\n<p>The days of cheap money at ultra-low interest rates are likely gone for a very long time.<\/p>\n<p>A big problem, however, is that not all central banks can simply raise their interest rates as quickly as some others.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The weaker a country&rsquo;s economy, the more painful it&rsquo;ll be for that country&rsquo;s central bank to hike rates quickly.<\/p>\n<p>This is a bit of an oversimplification&hellip; but the higher the interest rate of a currency, the stronger that currency typically tends to be.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s the exact opposite for a currency with a low interest rate.<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;ve seen this theory play out over the last several months between the U.S. dollar (USD) and its European counterparts the euro (EUR) and the Great British pound (GBP).<\/p>\n<p>For example, the euro reached parity with the dollar back in July. The last time this happened was 20 years ago all the way back in 2002.<\/p>\n<p>The pound on the other hand, dropped to a new all-time low against the dollar as recently as September 26.<\/p>\n<p>The USD&rsquo;s interest rate is currently at 3.25%, while the EUR and the GBP are sitting at 1.25% and 2.25%, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Since the beginning of the year, the Fed has hiked rates five times, including two outsized hikes of 0.75% each in June and July.<\/p>\n<p>And despite all these rate hikes, inflation is still sitting over 8%. (For reference, the Fed&rsquo;s target for inflation is 2%.)<\/p>\n<p>That means there&rsquo;s a lot more pain to come for investors sticking to traditional asset classes like stocks and bonds.<\/p>\n<p>But it means that great opportunities to trade forex are here once again.<\/p>\n<p>This week, I&rsquo;ll reveal more about my forex trading strategy. So far, it&rsquo;s off to a perfect start with 13 winners out of 13 trades&hellip; proving that this really is the market to be in right now.<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading,<\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<br \/>Analyst, Market Minute<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In today\u2019s mailbag, a <em>Market Minute<\/em> reader shares his thoughts&hellip;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px;padding-left: 15px;\">\n<p>I\u2019m looking forward to your forex trading service.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>&ndash; Marty G.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful comments. We look forward to reading them every day. Keep them coming at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is the best trading environment I\u2019ve ever seen for forex&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20209","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20209"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20209\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20209"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20209"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20209"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20209"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20209"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20209"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}