{"id":20680,"date":"2023-03-10T07:30:48","date_gmt":"2023-03-10T12:30:48","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2023-03-10T07:30:48","modified_gmt":"2023-03-10T12:30:48","slug":"golds-grim-outlook-is-about-to-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/golds-grim-outlook-is-about-to-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold\u2019s Grim Outlook Is About to Change\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gold has had a tough time these past few weeks&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>After peaking in late January near $1,950 an ounce, the shiny yellow metal has been on a one-way path lower.<\/p>\n<p>It closed Wednesday at $1,818 &ndash; down nearly 7% in just the past six weeks. It has given up all its 2023 gains, and it&rsquo;s now trading down for the year.<\/p>\n<p>Gold bugs &ndash; those diehard fans of the precious metal &ndash; are once again in the all-too-familiar position of watching gold underperform the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>But that may be about to change&#8230;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The recent decline has created a potentially bullish reversal pattern on the chart. And that reversal could start as early as today &ndash; following the release of last month&rsquo;s non-farm payrolls report.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at gold&rsquo;s chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202303\/20230310-JMU-01.png\"><\/p>\n<p>Gold peaked in late January, at a time when all the technical indicators at the bottom of the chart (MACD, RSI, CCI) were in overbought territory. That set the stage for the decline we&rsquo;ve seen over the past several weeks.<\/p>\n<p>But now, we have the opposite condition&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>All the various technical indicators are in oversold territory. And more importantly, they&rsquo;re all showing positive divergence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In other words, as the price of gold has been falling recently to a lower low, the technical indicators are making higher lows. This sort of &ldquo;positive divergence&rdquo; is often an early warning sign for a potential rally.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>All we need now is a catalyst.<\/p>\n<p>And today&rsquo;s non-farm payrolls report (NFPR) may give us one&hellip;<\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The NFPR is typically released on the first Friday of each month. This month, however, it was delayed until today.<\/p>\n<p>This report provides information about the health of the job market. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to the number when deciding the fate of interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>And since gold moves sharply in reaction to interest rate policies, gold often makes big moves following the release of the NFPR.<\/p>\n<p>Take another look at the chart and notice last November&rsquo;s setup (red dotted line)&hellip;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202303\/20230310-JMU-01.png\"><\/p>\n<p>Back then, gold was in a similar position to today. The metal was oversold, and there was positive divergence on the technical indicators.<\/p>\n<p>The release of the NFPR in November provided the catalyst that sparked a multi-month rally in the price of gold.<\/p>\n<p>Could today&rsquo;s NFPR ignite a similar reaction?<\/p>\n<p>There are no guarantees, but the setup looks bullish.<\/p>\n<p>And if gold sells off further following this morning&rsquo;s report, then the positive divergence will likely become even more extreme. That will only increase the chances for a bullish reversal in the gold price.<\/p>\n<p>Either way, the setup looks bullish for the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Traders should look to buy the precious metal following this morning&rsquo;s NFPR.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<table style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" height=\"77\" alt=\"signature\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold\u2019s recent decline has created a potentially bullish reversal pattern on the chart&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20680","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/31"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20680"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20680\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20680"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20680"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20680"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20680"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}