{"id":20845,"date":"2023-04-26T07:30:15","date_gmt":"2023-04-26T11:30:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20845"},"modified":"2023-04-26T07:30:15","modified_gmt":"2023-04-26T11:30:15","slug":"why-you-should-avoid-this-dip","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-you-should-avoid-this-dip\/","title":{"rendered":"Why You Should Avoid This Dip"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With the S&amp;P 500 still down 14% from its all-time high, bargain hunting remains a temptation for investors.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s especially true in corners of the market that have imploded.<\/p>\n<p>For example, the small-cap growth stocks where former high-flyers continue struggling.<\/p>\n<p>Wayfair (W) is a good example. The stock made an incredible run, gaining over 1,300% from the low in 2020 to its peak about a year later.<\/p>\n<p>But ever since that top, the stock has since lost 89% of its value. And while bargain hunting may be tempting in the most beaten-down names like W, you should make sure you have an edge before jumping in.<\/p>\n<p>After all, there might be a good reason why a stock is down that much.<\/p>\n<p>So today, I want to show you another way I use my alpha rank&hellip; this time to spot the stocks you should stay away from.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Know Which Stocks to Avoid<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-edge-quickly-spots-winning-stocks-on-the-move\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Last week<\/a>, I showed you how my alpha rank system uses a computer algorithm to quickly evaluate thousands of stocks across dozens of factors.<\/p>\n<p>These factors are historically proven to point the way toward stocks that outperform.<\/p>\n<p>And while these alpha factors historically show which stocks have the best potential for outsized returns, there&rsquo;s more than one way to utilize the rankings.<\/p>\n<p>They also shine the spotlight on which stocks to avoid&hellip; or even bet against.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s because the worst ranked stocks have delivered -10.8% in annualized returns since 2010.<\/p>\n<p>Think about that for a moment&#8230; During a period characterized by a massive bull market, the bottom ranked stocks still lost nearly 80% of their value in total.<\/p>\n<p>That proves companies showing things like poor profitability and quality are the ones to avoid.<\/p>\n<p>And that brings me back to Wayfair, and why you should avoid the temptation of buying at these levels.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">No Edge Here<\/h2>\n<p>This isn&rsquo;t meant to be an attack on Wayfair&rsquo;s stock. I&rsquo;m simply highlighting data contained in the company&rsquo;s financial statements and stock price that make up my ranking system.<\/p>\n<p>Consider that earnings are expected to be in the red by $4.25 per share, while estimates for 2024 are being revised lower by Wall Street analysts over the past six months.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s dragging down profitability and analyst revision factors in the score. That&rsquo;s why Wayfair scores a 4 (out of 100) in my model.<\/p>\n<p><!--GRAY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GRAY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>Now look at the chart setup, which goes back to June 2021.<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202304\/20230426-JMU-02_wbr622.png\"><\/p>\n<p>As the stock plunged into 2022, you can see that a low was found back in October around the $29 level.<\/p>\n<p>Ever since then, the stock has been trading sideways, testing that same $29 level multiple times (the dashed trendline).<\/p>\n<p>And while it might be tempting to buy a stock that&rsquo;s down 89% from the peak and potentially carving out a support level, I&rsquo;m not dipping my toe in the water until the stock&rsquo;s rank improves.<\/p>\n<p>There&rsquo;s also something else I would watch for&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Given the stock&rsquo;s current score, I would consider adding puts on a breakdown through that $29 support level.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s easy to find stocks across the market that are down significantly from their highs.<\/p>\n<p>But before you go off bargain hunting, check if an edge is there.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards,<\/p>\n<p>Clint Brewer<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Are there any stocks you&rsquo;d like to check for an edge? We&rsquo;ll be doing a &ldquo;bargain finds&rdquo; series, where I&rsquo;ll run a few stocks through my alpha rank and let you know if it&rsquo;s an opportunity or not.<\/p>\n<p>Make sure to write in the stocks you want to see at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There\u2019s no edge in this online retailer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[82],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-clint-brewer"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20845","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20845"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20845\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20845"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20845"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20845"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20845"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20845"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20845"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20845"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}