{"id":20872,"date":"2023-05-08T07:30:12","date_gmt":"2023-05-08T11:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20872"},"modified":"2023-05-08T07:30:12","modified_gmt":"2023-05-08T11:30:12","slug":"why-im-not-recommending-my-favorite-metal-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-im-not-recommending-my-favorite-metal-right-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Why I\u2019m Not Recommending My Favorite Metal Right Now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Don&rsquo;t buy gold now.<\/p>\n<p>The time to buy gold was last November when gold was trading near $1,630 per ounce, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-money-is-migrating-into-a-gold-rush\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">we suggested<\/a> we were on the verge of a &ldquo;gold rush.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Or, you could&rsquo;ve bought gold for $1,825 an ounce two months ago when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/golds-grim-outlook-is-about-to-change\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">we showed a bullish setup<\/a> on the chart.<\/p>\n<p>But, if you&rsquo;re looking to buy the shiny, yellow metal right now&hellip; you&rsquo;re a little late to the party.<\/p>\n<p>Gold traded near $2,050 per ounce yesterday. That&rsquo;s just about its highest price ever.<\/p>\n<p>And if history is any sort of guide, you&rsquo;ll likely have a better chance to buy gold at a lower price in a couple of months.<\/p>\n<p>Let me explain&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>From a seasonal perspective, the price of gold tends to make an intermediate-term top in April or May. Then, it declines for a few months and makes an intermediate-term bottom sometime between July and October.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, there are exceptions to that.<\/p>\n<p>For the most part, though, buying gold at its highest price ever &ndash; just as it&rsquo;s entering a seasonally weak period &ndash; tends to work out poorly.<\/p>\n<p>It also doesn&rsquo;t help that the setup on the gold chart is the opposite of what we looked at back in March and November.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s an updated chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202305\/20230508-JMU-01_mkw134.png\"><\/p>\n<p>In March and November, as the price of gold was falling, the technical momentum indicators at the bottom of the chart were making higher lows.<\/p>\n<p>This sort of &ldquo;positive divergence&rdquo; is often an early warning sign of an impending rally. And, we viewed it as a reason to be bullish on gold.<\/p>\n<p>The picture is entirely different today.<\/p>\n<p>Gold has been rallying. But, the technical momentum indicators at the bottom of the chart are making lower highs. This is &ldquo;negative divergence.&rdquo; And, it&rsquo;s often an early warning sign of an impending decline.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, there are plenty of macro-economic reasons to be bullish on gold.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>The shiny yellow metal is likely to be much higher in the months and years to come than where it is today.<\/p>\n<p>But if you&rsquo;re looking to add exposure to gold, it seems to me we&rsquo;ll have a chance to do that at a lower price sometime within the next couple of months.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Have you been stockpiling gold when we\u2019ve shown buy signals?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Now\u2019s not the time to buy gold\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20872","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20872"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20872\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20872"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20872"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20872"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20872"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}