{"id":20898,"date":"2023-05-16T17:00:48","date_gmt":"2023-05-16T21:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20898"},"modified":"2023-05-16T17:00:48","modified_gmt":"2023-05-16T21:00:48","slug":"what-if-it-doesnt-get-better","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/what-if-it-doesnt-get-better\/","title":{"rendered":"What if It Doesn\u2019t Get Better?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Andrew&rsquo;s Note: <\/strong>Today, we&rsquo;re sharing the latest insights from our colleague and elusive market oracle, Mason Sexton.<\/p>\n<p>After telling readers to short the market 11 days <em>before<\/em> Black Monday in 1987 &ndash; and <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.newparadigmresearch.com\/?cid=MKT735918&#038;eid=MKT738448&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">nearly calling the crash <em>down to the minute<\/em><\/a> &ndash; Mason was deemed an oracle by <em>CNN<\/em> and <em>Time Magazine<\/em>. Then, something strange happened&hellip; Mason disappeared from the public eye.<\/p>\n<p>For the first time in 30 years, he&rsquo;s coming forward with an ominous new market forecast on May 23 at 10 a.m. ET. <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.newparadigmresearch.com\/?cid=MKT735918&#038;eid=MKT738448&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sign up for his free presentation right here, and you&rsquo;ll be sent the exact date Mason expects the next significant market event to strike<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<p>In 2021, something strange happened&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Inflation &ndash; the scourge of the 1970s &ndash; began to climb.<\/p>\n<p>For investors under a certain age, this was new. They&rsquo;d never invested in a high-inflation environment before.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Not to worry,&rdquo; assured the men in charge. &ldquo;Things will get better.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>But in the first two quarters of 2022, the U.S. GDP shrank. That&rsquo;s one of the common definitions of a recession.<\/p>\n<p>But the Fed, the media, and the president told you it wasn&rsquo;t <em>really<\/em> a recession. &ldquo;Besides, things will get better,&rdquo; they said.<\/p>\n<p>Then the stock market plunged. And 2022 was the worst year ever for Treasury bonds.<\/p>\n<p>Then the banks began to fail&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;re only five months into the year, and bank failures have surpassed 2008 in terms of total assets.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Not to worry,&rdquo; said Fed boss Jerome Powell. &ldquo;The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Once again, the message was the same, &ldquo;Please don&rsquo;t worry. Things will get better.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>But today, I want you to consider a radical possibility: What if the worst is yet to come?<\/p>\n<p>What if the stock market moves sideways (or down, after you account for inflation) for a decade or more? That&rsquo;s what I saw during the first 10 years of my career in the 1970s and 1980s.<\/p>\n<p>And what if the system &ndash; propped up by extraordinary amounts of debt, low rates, and magical thinking &ndash; has finally found its limit?<\/p>\n<p>What would you do in that situation?<\/p>\n<p>These are the questions I ask you to consider today.<\/p>\n<p>My research shows me that an event is coming that few of us have seen before. And I predict it will arrive in the next eight weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Many investors will be lucky to breakeven. Many will be utterly wiped out.<\/p>\n<p>But a lucky few will see this coming and position themselves for extraordinary returns.<\/p>\n<p>What you do in the weeks ahead could determine the trajectory of your wealth &ndash; and your retirement &ndash; for years to come.<\/p>\n<p>Let me show you what I mean&hellip;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Important Top<\/h2>\n<p>My name is Mason Sexton.<\/p>\n<p>After graduating from Harvard Business School in 1972, I began a career on Wall Street. I spent three years in the Corporate Finance Department of Morgan Stanley. I did a stint with Salomon Brothers in the Mergers and Acquisitions (M&amp;A) Department. Then, I headed the Sales and Research Department of Mabon, Nugent &amp; Company.<\/p>\n<p>Then, in 1984, I founded my own research firm Harmonic Research, where we specialized in precise market timing.<\/p>\n<p>And when I say precise, I mean down to the day or even <em>hour<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><em>Timer Digest<\/em> &ndash; a publication that tracked analysts&rsquo; market timing &ndash; named me &ldquo;Top 10 Timer&rdquo; for 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, 1992, 1993, and 1994, when I made the cover.<\/p>\n<p>It was during my time with Harmonic Research that I experienced the crash of 1987. Most don&rsquo;t remember. But 1987 was a great year for stocks&hellip; until it wasn&rsquo;t.<\/p>\n<p>In my &ldquo;Long-Term Forecast 1985-1992,&rdquo; which I published in early 1985, I predicted that &ldquo;in 1987 the stock market will enjoy its biggest rally in history.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The Dow opened the year at 1,908 points. At the peak, two months before the crash that October, it was at 2,722 points. That&rsquo;s a 43% increase.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s hard for folks who didn&rsquo;t live through that time to grasp the relief that investors felt. After more than a decade of negative &ldquo;real&rdquo; (or inflation adjusted) returns, here was a rally that would lift investors out of the doldrums of the &ldquo;stagflationary&rdquo; late 1970s and early 1980s. Things were finally better!<\/p>\n<p>But the worst was yet to come.<\/p>\n<p>On August 14, 1987, CNN interviewed me. As I told the network&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;What we think will happen is that we&rsquo;ll get an important top somewhere around August 24 or 25. [&hellip;]&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>As it happens, the Dow topped at 2,722 on August 25. It was the all-time high for 1987. And it was a level that the index wouldn&rsquo;t see again until August of 1989.<\/p>\n<p>You may recall what happened next&#8230;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">Sell All Stocks<\/h2>\n<p>On Monday, October 19, the Dow plunged by 508 points, or 22.6%.<\/p>\n<p>To this day, it&rsquo;s the worst one-day drop for the index in percentage terms.<\/p>\n<p>Black Monday had arrived&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Of course, it&rsquo;s one thing to predict a crash. It&rsquo;s another to tell investors what to do about it.<\/p>\n<p>As it happens, I did that too.<\/p>\n<p>On October 2, 1987, I advised clients of Harmonic Research &ldquo;to sell all stocks.&rdquo; Six days later, on FNN (the precursor to CNBC), I advised investors to, &ldquo;Buy puts on the S&amp;P index&hellip; Short IBM, GM, PA, XON, and CHV.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Later, one of my clients told me that her traders had made a fortune by following this forecast. They were able to turn $100,000 into more than $13 million.<\/p>\n<p>Why should you care about this story today?<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">The Decision Is Yours<\/h2>\n<p>There are rare moments in history when one decision can have momentous implications.<\/p>\n<p>In 1987, the decision was to prepare for a crash or be wiped out. Even legendary trader George Soros wound up on the wrong side of that plunge. He&rsquo;s reported to have lost $800 million in a matter of days in 1987.<\/p>\n<p>We face a similar situation today. Except the consequences for inaction could be even more severe than they were on Black Monday.<\/p>\n<p>As I said, my research shows that the carnage will begin in just eight weeks from now.<\/p>\n<p>Washington officials assure you at every turn not to panic&hellip; that things will get better. But as humans, we have a natural intuition for danger.<\/p>\n<p>Does it <em>feel<\/em> like things are okay? Does it <em>feel<\/em> like things are getting better? If you&rsquo;re honest with yourself, you know the answer.<\/p>\n<p>What precisely is coming? And how should you prepare?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/signup.newparadigmresearch.com\/?cid=MKT735918&#038;eid=MKT738448&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">For answers, I invite you to join me on May 23 at 10 a.m. ET<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>During a special presentation, I&rsquo;ll give you the exact date this event will begin to unfold. This &ldquo;prophecy&rdquo; could rival my 1987 call that gave my clients the chance to make fortunes.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/signup.newparadigmresearch.com\/?cid=MKT735918&#038;eid=MKT738448&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">So, please, mark the date and reserve your spot here<\/a>. I look forward to seeing you there.<\/p>\n<p>Regards,<\/p>\n<p>Mason Sexton<br \/>Editor, New Paradigm Research<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2021, something strange happened\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[88],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-mason-sexton"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20898","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20898"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20898\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20898"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20898"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20898"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20898"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20898"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20898"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20898"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}