{"id":20970,"date":"2023-06-12T07:30:07","date_gmt":"2023-06-12T11:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20970"},"modified":"2023-06-12T07:30:07","modified_gmt":"2023-06-12T11:30:07","slug":"this-market-reminds-me-of-2000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-market-reminds-me-of-2000\/","title":{"rendered":"This Market Reminds Me of 2000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The more this bear market has stretched out, the more parallels there are with past crashes. Specifically, the markets right now are starting to look a lot like they did during the dot com sell-off.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, no market movement is going to be <em>exactly the same<\/em> as what&rsquo;s happened in the past, but there are some scary similarities here.<\/p>\n<p>Let me give you a quick refresher on what happened back in 2000 with the Nasdaq index.<\/p>\n<p>The Nasdaq topped out in March 2000 and viciously sold off over 38% in just two months, bottoming in May.<\/p>\n<p>Investors were then able to breathe a big sigh of relief as the market rallied over 40% during the summer months. But any signs of optimism were ultimately short-lived.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The Nasdaq topped out by the end of August before another 80% crash. The bear market didn&rsquo;t end up bottoming out till October 2002.<\/p>\n<p>You can see how it all unfolded on the chart below.<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202306\/20230612-JMU-01_niq134.png\"><\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s very possible that we have a similar path ahead of us in this current bear market. Here&rsquo;s a price chart of the Nasdaq from late 2021 to present.<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202306\/20230612-JMU-02_niq136.png\"><\/p>\n<p>As you can see, we have a very similar setup in place right now as we did back in 2000. We have the same 38% decline followed by a 40% rally.<\/p>\n<p>Apart from the price action, there&rsquo;s also another striking similarity between today&rsquo;s market and the dot com one.<\/p>\n<p>Back then, practically any company that had anything to do with the internet did really well. The poster child for the dot-com bubble was Pets.com, an online pet supply retailer.<\/p>\n<p>Investors loved the stock despite the fact that the company didn&rsquo;t have a scalable business plan, was losing money on every sale, and couldn&rsquo;t come close to turning a profit. The company eventually ended up bankrupt.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>Today, the craze is all about artificial intelligence, or AI. On May 24, chipmaking giant Nvidia reported blockbuster earnings.<\/p>\n<p>The surge in demand for Nvidia chips was due to AI researchers using the company&rsquo;s silicon to further their own projects.<\/p>\n<p>Nvidia&rsquo;s earnings announcement saw the company join the extremely exclusive $1 trillion market cap club.<\/p>\n<p>Now to be clear, I&rsquo;m not saying that Nvidia is another Pets.com, or that AI is just a passing fad. The point of these comparisons has more to do with how market sentiment right now is similar to what it was back in early 2000.<\/p>\n<p>The internet has gone on to change the course of human civilization. I&rsquo;m certain that AI will have an even more profound effect.<\/p>\n<p>That doesn&rsquo;t mean that we&rsquo;re not creating another bubble in the short term, however. It will be fascinating to see whether or not the Nasdaq puts in a very important market top in the days and weeks to come.<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading,<\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Do you think we&rsquo;re facing a dot com level bubble, or will this AI boom play out differently?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The more this bear market has stretched out, the more parallels there are with past crashes. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20970","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20970"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20970\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20970"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20970"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20970"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20970"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}