{"id":20976,"date":"2023-06-13T07:30:53","date_gmt":"2023-06-13T11:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20976"},"modified":"2023-06-13T07:30:53","modified_gmt":"2023-06-13T11:30:53","slug":"its-nearly-time-to-load-up-on-this-commodity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/its-nearly-time-to-load-up-on-this-commodity\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Nearly Time to Load Up On This Commodity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Watch the action in the gold stocks following this week&rsquo;s FOMC announcement on interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>If the sector declines after Wednesday&rsquo;s announcement, then we may finally get a chance to buy back into the gold stocks.<\/p>\n<p>We turned cautious, maybe even bearish, on the gold sector <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/my-blasphemous-prediction-for-gold\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">nearly two months ago<\/a>. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) has fallen about 8% since then.<\/p>\n<p>But, the fundamental reasons to be invested in the gold stocks are as bullish as ever.<\/p>\n<p>The sector is likely headed much higher over the long-term. So, I&rsquo;ve been anxiously waiting for a chance to aggressively buy back into positions.<\/p>\n<p>It still seems a bit too soon.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s an updated look at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-its-important-to-allow-some-wiggle-room\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Bullish Percent Index for the gold sector (BPGDM)<\/a> that we looked at last month&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202306\/20230613-JMU-01_nkq411.png\"><\/p>\n<p>The BPGDM measures the percentage of gold stocks that are trading in a bullish technical formation.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s a gauge of overbought and oversold conditions. Since it&rsquo;s measured as a percentage, a bullish percent index can only reach as high as 100% or fall as low as zero.<\/p>\n<p>Typically, a sector is extremely overbought when its bullish percent index rallies above 80%. It&rsquo;s extremely oversold when it drops below 30%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The BPGDM has been stuck in neutral &ndash; at 53.57 &ndash; for the past three weeks. Similarly, shares of GDX were trading near $31 three weeks ago. And, they&rsquo;re trading near that same level today.<\/p>\n<p>As I mentioned last month, the BPGDM never reached 80 before it reversed lower in May. It never, <em>technically<\/em>, generated a sell signal. So, it may not need to, <em>technically<\/em>, generate a buy signal by declining below 30 before reversing higher.<\/p>\n<p>But, the BPGDM still needs to work a bit lower before we can say that it&rsquo;s &ldquo;safe&rdquo; to venture back into the gold sector.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>Conditions are neither overbought nor oversold in the gold sector right now&hellip; Conditions are neutral.<\/p>\n<p>The best time to buy gold stocks is when they are oversold, or at least approaching oversold levels.<\/p>\n<p>So, the BPGDM needs to dip closer to 40, or perhaps 35, before I&rsquo;m willing to add exposure to the gold sector.<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s keep an eye on the chart of BPGDM this week &ndash; especially after Wednesday&rsquo;s FOMC announcement.<\/p>\n<p>That announcement may provide the catalyst for another move lower in the gold stocks.<\/p>\n<p>And, that move may finally create the sort of conditions that make it attractive to buy the gold stocks again.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Are you looking to buy gold stocks again?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Watch the action in the gold stocks following this week\u2019s FOMC announcement on interest rates. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20976","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20976","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20976"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20976\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20976"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20976"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20976"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20976"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20976"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20976"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20976"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}