{"id":20999,"date":"2023-06-22T07:30:27","date_gmt":"2023-06-22T11:30:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=20999"},"modified":"2023-06-22T07:30:27","modified_gmt":"2023-06-22T11:30:27","slug":"the-widow-maker","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-widow-maker\/","title":{"rendered":"The Widow Maker"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After chopping back and forth for the past few months, the price of natural gas looks poised for a big rally.<\/p>\n<p>Natural gas peaked last summer when it traded near $9.50 per million British thermal units (MMBTU).<\/p>\n<p>Today, the &ldquo;widow maker&rdquo; trades near $2.50. That&rsquo;s a 74% decline over the past nine months.<\/p>\n<p>And, it explains why traders call natural gas the &ldquo;widow maker&rdquo;&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s notoriously hard to trade. And it&rsquo;s prone to outsized moves &ndash; which often don&rsquo;t comply with any sort of logic.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, like moths to a flame, traders are attracted to the action in natural gas.<\/p>\n<p>And, right now, that action looks like it&rsquo;s turning bullish &ndash; just as the seasonal patterns turn bullish as well.<\/p>\n<p>For whatever reason, the price of natural gas tends to rally during the summer.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, for example, natural gas rallied from $1.60 to $2.70. That&rsquo;s a 69% gain in just over two months. The price doubled during the summer of 2021. And, last year, natural gas rallied from $5.50 at the start of July to $9.50 at the end of August.<\/p>\n<p>It looks to me like we could see an even stronger rally in natural gas this year.<\/p>\n<p>Look at this chart&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202306\/20230622-JMU-01_nkr412.png\"><\/p>\n<p>After declining sharply at the beginning of the year, natural gas has spent the past few months chopping back and forth inside a relatively tight trading range between $2.10 and $2.60. This action is building up energy to fuel the next big move &ndash; which I suspect will be higher.<\/p>\n<p>All of the various moving averages have coiled together. And, they&rsquo;re in a bullish formation &ndash; with the 9-day EMA above the 20-day EMA, and the 20-day EMA above the 50-day MA.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>If natural gas can close convincingly above the resistance line of the consolidation pattern &ndash; at about $2.60 &ndash; then there&rsquo;s no real resistance until about $5.00. In other words, natural gas looks poised for a 100% rally.<\/p>\n<p>Granted&hellip; nothing in the markets is ever guaranteed. And, natural gas is called the widow maker for good reason.<\/p>\n<p>But with the seasonal factors turning bullish, and with the chart pattern looking bullish as well, I like the odds for a strong rally in the price of natural gas.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>What&rsquo;s been your experience trading natural gas?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After chopping back and forth for the past few months, the price of natural gas looks poised for a big rally.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-20999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20999","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20999"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20999\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20999"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=20999"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=20999"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=20999"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=20999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}