{"id":21033,"date":"2023-07-07T07:30:42","date_gmt":"2023-07-07T11:30:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=21033"},"modified":"2023-07-07T07:30:42","modified_gmt":"2023-07-07T11:30:42","slug":"this-years-rally-is-no-coincidence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-years-rally-is-no-coincidence\/","title":{"rendered":"This Year\u2019s Rally is No Coincidence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Jeff&rsquo;s Note: <\/strong>We&rsquo;re just days away from a &ldquo;Summer of Hell.&rdquo; In the past, stocks have dropped as much as 17% during this time&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Buy and hold investors could be hit the hardest. Meanwhile, Wall Street has created <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT746466&#038;eid=MKT748893&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a new investment vehicle<\/a> that lets them sidestep these crashes&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately, I&rsquo;ve honed an easy-to-use strategy using this same vehicle for the chance to get paid hundreds each day the market is open. To learn more, <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT746466&#038;eid=MKT748893&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">tune into my special presentation on Wednesday, July 12 at 8 pm ET right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<p>The stock market rally this year has been no coincidence.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s the result of a four-year cycle that has rung true 72 years in a row.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, few are aware it even exists.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, we&rsquo;re in the third year of this cycle.<\/p>\n<p>And based on the past, stocks tend to perform quite well during this time. Most investors are likely sitting on big gains right now.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s because the third year of this cycle has produced positive returns 78% of the time since 1928. And, the average return for the year was 13.5% versus a 7.7% return on average for all years.<\/p>\n<p>So far in 2023, the S&amp;P 500 is already up 15%. So, the market is certainly on schedule. But, that might be a problem this summer.<\/p>\n<p>You see, while the annual bullishness of the third year in this cycle is a widely followed phenomenon, there is a &ldquo;cycle within the cycle&rdquo; that is quite bearish and likely to cause some trouble this summer.<\/p>\n<p>July and August tend to be poor months for the stock market during the third year.<\/p>\n<p>For example, in 2019 the S&amp;P 500 was trading near 3000 just before Independence Day. By mid-August, the index was at 2840. That&rsquo;s a 5% drop in about five weeks.<\/p>\n<p>In 2015, the S&amp;P 500 dropped almost 10% between early July and late August.<\/p>\n<p>In 2011, the index lost 17%.<\/p>\n<p>And in 2007, the S&amp;P 500 dropped 9% in four weeks as this &ldquo;cycle within a cycle&rdquo; played out.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>If history repeats this year, or even if it just rhymes a little bit, investors could be in for a tough time over the next two months.<\/p>\n<p>Much of the gains the market has enjoyed this year could be given up.<\/p>\n<p>But if you have the right strategy to deal with the volatility, not only can you sidestep the coming decline, you can profit from it.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT746466&#038;eid=MKT748893&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">In fact, you could get paid every day the stock market is open.<\/a> Even in times of extreme volatility&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;ll be sharing one such strategy during a special presentation on Wednesday, July 12 at 8 p.m. ET. It has to do with a trading vehicle that wasn&rsquo;t available to investors until only recently.<\/p>\n<p>And, it has quickly become one of my favorite strategies.<\/p>\n<p>The best part is it takes just one ticker to potentially get paid over and over again. <a href=\"https:\/\/signup.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT746466&#038;eid=MKT748893&#038;oneClick=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Click here now to find out more.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Have you ever heard of this cycle?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The stock market rally this year has been no coincidence. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-21033","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21033","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21033"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21033\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21033"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21033"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21033"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=21033"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=21033"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=21033"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=21033"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}