{"id":21047,"date":"2023-07-14T07:30:28","date_gmt":"2023-07-14T11:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=21047"},"modified":"2023-07-14T07:30:28","modified_gmt":"2023-07-14T11:30:28","slug":"if-it-cant-get-any-better-it-can-only-get-worse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/if-it-cant-get-any-better-it-can-only-get-worse\/","title":{"rendered":"If It Can\u2019t Get Any Better, It Can Only Get Worse"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Jeff&rsquo;s Note:<\/strong> On Wednesday, I discussed the number one new strategy all traders need in their toolbox right now.<\/p>\n<p>It has to do with <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT749370&#038;eid=MKT750578&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC184885\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a lucrative new trading vehicle<\/a> designed for quick, daily payouts. And, it has the potential to reel in over $75,000 per year.<\/p>\n<p>To learn more, watch the event <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT749370&#038;eid=MKT750578&#038;step=start&#038;plcid=PLC184885\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<p>It can&rsquo;t get any better than this for the transportation stocks.<\/p>\n<p>The iShares Transportation Average ETF (IYT) is up 21% so far in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Most of that gain happened in just the past six weeks. The sector has rocketed higher as we&rsquo;ve entered the summer travel season, global economies are opening up, and energy prices have fallen.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s the perfect storm for transportation stocks &ndash; in a good way. And, it really doesn&rsquo;t get any better.<\/p>\n<p>But, that&rsquo;s a problem. You see, if it can&rsquo;t get better then it can only get worse.<\/p>\n<p>So, traders rushing in to chase the transportation stocks higher at this point are likely to be disappointed in the future.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this chart of the Bullish Percent Index for the Transportation Sector (BPTRAN)&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202307\/20230714-JMU-01_njw111.png\"><\/p>\n<p>Regular readers know that a bullish percent index measures the percentage of stocks in a given sector that are trading with bullish technical patterns. Since it&rsquo;s a percentage, the chart can range anywhere from zero to 100.<\/p>\n<p>Typically, when a bullish percent index dips below 30 it indicates oversold conditions. Readings above 80 mean a sector is overbought.<\/p>\n<p>A bullish percent index will generate a buy signal when it turns up from oversold conditions. It generates sell signals when it turns down from overbought levels.<\/p>\n<p>The BPTRAN buy signals are indicated by the blue arrows on the chart. The sell signals are in red.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s how IYT responded to each of those signals in 2023&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202307\/20230714-JMU-02_nju421.png\"><\/p>\n<p>If we were trading IYT solely off the BPTRAN signals, we would have purchased IYT in late December, sold it in early February, and bought it again in mid-March.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;And, we&rsquo;d be sitting on a really nice gain at the moment.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>The problem now, though, is the BPTRAN is at 100. It can&rsquo;t go any higher. And, when it turns lower it will generate a sell signal.<\/p>\n<p>Folks who are buying into the transportation sector now are buying into extremely overbought conditions. The risk far outweighs the reward.<\/p>\n<p>With the BPTRAN on the verge of a sell signal, it seems more prudent to refrain from chasing the transportations stocks higher right now. We&rsquo;ll likely have a better chance to buy them in the months ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Have you been tracking any specific stocks in the transportation sector?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It can\u2019t get any better than this for the transportation stocks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-21047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21047"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21047\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21047"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=21047"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=21047"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=21047"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=21047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}