{"id":21070,"date":"2023-07-21T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-21T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=21070"},"modified":"2023-07-21T07:30:00","modified_gmt":"2023-07-21T11:30:00","slug":"the-stock-market-is-nearing-peak-fomo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-stock-market-is-nearing-peak-fomo\/","title":{"rendered":"The Stock Market is Nearing Peak-FOMO"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The most dangerous time to invest is when the fear of missing out (FOMO) is greater than the fear of loss.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s an odd characteristic, really.<\/p>\n<p>Folks will tolerate losses as long as everyone around them is losing money, too. But, if we&rsquo;re on the sidelines while everyone else is making money, well, that&rsquo;s unacceptable.<\/p>\n<p>So, we set aside our discipline. We ignore our risk parameters.<\/p>\n<p>And we chase investments higher into unfavorable conditions &ndash; even though we know better.<\/p>\n<p>Then we lose money along with everyone else.<\/p>\n<p>This cycle plays out all the time.<\/p>\n<p>Think back to the cryptocurrency market in 2021. Bitcoin was trading above $60,000. All sorts of obscure, functionless, crypto coins were being created out of thin air. Then they&rsquo;d double or triple in value in a matter of days.<\/p>\n<p>Folks who had no understanding of the crypto market &ndash; no idea of what it&rsquo;s for or how it&rsquo;s used &ndash; threw their hard-earned money into the scheme. They didn&rsquo;t care about the risk of loss.<\/p>\n<p>All they knew was their next-door-neighbor&rsquo;s teenage son, their babysitter, and the check-out lady at the local Piggly Wiggly were making money in crypto. And, the fear-of-missing-out was too painful to ignore.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>In hindsight, it&rsquo;s easy to see that 2021 was a peak-FOMO moment for crypto. It was also a peak-FOMO moment for non-fungible-tokens (NFTs), ICOs, Bored-Apes, and digital images of rocks.<\/p>\n<p>We won&rsquo;t know for sure for several months, but it sure feels as though we&rsquo;re reaching a peak-FOMO moment for the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 currently trades for about 20x 2024 earnings estimates. That means the earnings yield for the S&amp;P 500 is about 5%.<\/p>\n<p>The current yield on a three-month Treasury bill is 5.5% (and likely to go higher following the FOMC meeting next Wednesday).<\/p>\n<p>In other words, investors can buy the S&amp;P 500 &ndash; and assume the risk that goes along with it &ndash; and expect to earn about 5% over time. Or, they can buy a &ldquo;risk-free&rdquo; U.S. T-bill and earn 5.5%.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, investors are rushing to buy stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Why? Because the fear of missing out is greater than the fear of loss.<\/p>\n<p>This is a dangerous time to be putting fresh money into the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The most dangerous time to invest is when the fear of missing out (FOMO) is greater than the fear of loss.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-21070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21070","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21070"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21070\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21070"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21070"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21070"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=21070"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=21070"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=21070"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=21070"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}