{"id":21290,"date":"2023-10-18T07:30:02","date_gmt":"2023-10-18T11:30:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=21290"},"modified":"2023-10-18T07:30:02","modified_gmt":"2023-10-18T11:30:02","slug":"new-world-new-rules","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/new-world-new-rules\/","title":{"rendered":"New World, New Rules"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>To better understand today&#8217;s market, we have to go back a couple years&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>The bull run from late March 2020 to December 2021 was one for the ages.<\/p>\n<p>Practically anything you bought would have done well.<\/p>\n<p>It wasn&rsquo;t a matter of picking a <em>winning<\/em> investment, but rather picking the hottest investment you could. Cryptocurrencies, SPACs, NFTs, and stocks all delivered massive gains.<\/p>\n<p>Small-cap stocks were no exception either. Over that same period of time, the Russell 2000 Index rallied over 155%. The combination of rock-bottom interest rates and a steady stream of freshly printed dollars was like putting our financial markets on steroids.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, all that came to an end in 2022&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Inflation came roaring back. This, in turn, forced the Fed to reverse course on their easy-money policies.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin dropped nearly 80%. The S&amp;P 500 dropped nearly 28%. SPACs all but disappeared.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s a new world out there for investors now. And that means new rules.<\/p>\n<p>There&rsquo;s still some uncertainty around how high interest rates will go&hellip; not to mention how long they&rsquo;ll stay elevated.<\/p>\n<p>But for now, uncertainty is the name of the game. That means the markets are likely to be a bumpy ride for many buy-and-hold investors.<\/p>\n<p>A perfect example is small-cap stocks. And while I&rsquo;ve spotted a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/how-i-deal-with-fear-in-the-markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">potential bullish opportunity in the S&amp;P 500<\/a>, the Russell 2000 still looks like it needs to break lower first.<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s take a look&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202310\/20231018-JMU-01.png\"><\/p>\n<p>There are three key technical indicators here, the 20-, 50-, and 200-period moving averages.<\/p>\n<p>These three moving averages highlight the short, medium, and long-term trends in the market.<\/p>\n<p>Notice how prices have traded below all three moving averages. That&rsquo;s a clear sign the trend is to the downside.<\/p>\n<p>Another piece of bearish evidence is that prices broke below an important support (blue line). This trend line has been a supportive floor for the market since June 2022. Breaking below that line is another sign that investors are still bearish on small-cap stocks.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s certainly possible that the Russell will pop higher for a few trading sessions. But any rally should fail and ultimately draw the index to fresh lows.<\/p>\n<p>For now, traders should avoid getting into stocks that make up the Russell 2000 Index.<\/p>\n<p>My downside target is around 1510. So, there should be another 14% decline before the index can stabilize and rebound.<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 15px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/imre-gams-signature.png\" width=\"140\" style=\"max-width:140px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG BEGIN --><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-top:0px; padding-bottom:0px; margin-bottom:20px; margin-top:0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #CCCCCC\">\n<h2 style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial; font-size: 25px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: -1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">READER MAILBAG<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>Are you watching the Russell 2000 Index?<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts &ndash; and any questions you have &ndash; at <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">feedback@jeffclarktrader.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- MAILBAG END --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To better understand today&#8217;s market, we have to go back a couple years\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-21290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21290","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21290"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21290\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21290"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21290"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21290"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=21290"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=21290"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=21290"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=21290"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}