{"id":21505,"date":"2024-01-15T07:30:31","date_gmt":"2024-01-15T12:30:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=21505"},"modified":"2024-01-15T07:30:31","modified_gmt":"2024-01-15T12:30:31","slug":"if-you-can-read-this-you-can-make-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/if-you-can-read-this-you-can-make-money\/","title":{"rendered":"If You Can Read This, You Can Make Money"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&rsquo;ve got something special planned for today&rsquo;s edition of <em>Market Minute..<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/why-you-need-fundamental-and-technical-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Last Monday,<\/a> I started a mini-series focused on the ins and outs of technical analysis.<\/p>\n<p>And today, we&rsquo;re going in deeper&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;re going to break down the SPDR homebuilders ETF (XHB). I put XHB on your radar back on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/heres-how-to-trade-one-of-my-favorite-breakout-patterns\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">December 6<\/a>. At the time, the ETF was tracing out one of my favorite chart patterns &ndash; the cup and handle.<\/p>\n<p>And if you traded this pattern the way I suggested, you would have had the chance to put away a tidy profit&hellip;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">So Simple My Seven-Year-Old Niece Can Do it<\/h2>\n<p>As I wrote last week, there are many different ways to approach technical analysis. My approach is to look for two simple things:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p>Market structure<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Chart patterns<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Market structure just means identifying the larger trend. A market is either trending higher, lower, or going sideways.<\/p>\n<p>Trend identification is usually simple. In fact, one of my favorite games to play with my younger nieces and nephews is to show them a price chart. I&rsquo;ll then ask them if they think the chart is going up, down, or sideways.<\/p>\n<p>They&rsquo;ve never been wrong. Not even once.<\/p>\n<p>Traders love to overcomplicate simple problems. Don&rsquo;t make it a habit to overcomplicate market structure analysis. If a seven-year-old can do it, you definitely can.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\">An Art and a Science <\/h2>\n<p>Chart patterns is where things get a lot more fun and interesting. Chart patterns are much more subjective and open to interpretation. Remember, technical analysis is both an artform and a science.<\/p>\n<p>This is especially true when it comes to chart patterns.<\/p>\n<p>The good news is that we simplify things here, too. All we have to do is divide all chart patterns into two categories &ndash; reversals and continuations.<\/p>\n<p>A reversal pattern signals a trend is ending. For example, if a stock is in an uptrend and we spot a reversal pattern, it&rsquo;s a sign that we&rsquo;re going to get a sustained period of selling.<\/p>\n<p>Continuation patterns are a temporary interruption of the current trend. Once the continuation pattern completes, the previous trend will resume.<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s now examine XHB&rsquo;s price chart from a market structure perspective. The chart below plots XHB&rsquo;s price action since its significant low in March 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Pay attention to how the swing points &ndash; both the swing lows and swing highs &ndash; march steadily upwards.<\/p>\n<p>This is a crystal clear sign the market is in a long-term uptrend.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, you can&rsquo;t have any kind of directional trend without swing points moving in concert either higher or lower.<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202401\/20240115-JMU-01.png\"><\/p>\n<p>Since we can establish that XHB is in an uptrend, this means we want to look for trend continuation patterns as a reason to buy the stock.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s where the cup and handle pattern mentioned near the beginning of the essay comes in. The cup and handle is a classic continuation pattern.<\/p>\n<p>Check out the pattern below:<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202401\/20240115-JMU-02.png\"><\/p>\n<p>The trigger to trading the pattern is usually to wait for prices to break past the neckline. In the case of XHB, the breakout occurred on December 1.<\/p>\n<p>You can see how powerful these continuation patterns are. Since breaking out, XHB rallied 14% in under a month. And in doing so, XHB also created a brand new swing high.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;re already seeing a little pullback underway. This means we should be on the lookout for another trend continuation pattern to take shape.<\/p>\n<p>Trend continuation patterns directly translate into money-making opportunities.<\/p>\n<p>Technical analysis can be very simple&hellip; and extremely powerful if you know what you&rsquo;re doing. If XHB&rsquo;s pullback turns into a great trend continuation pattern, we&rsquo;ll have another update to this series.<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 15px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/imre-gams-signature.png\" width=\"140\" style=\"max-width:140px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Imre Gams<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S<\/strong>. Did you find this case study helpful, and would you like to see more? Please let me know at feedback@jeffclarktrader.com.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I\u2019ve got something special planned for today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[76],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-21505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-imre-gams"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21505","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21505"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21505\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21505"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21505"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21505"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=21505"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=21505"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=21505"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=21505"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}