{"id":21606,"date":"2024-02-23T07:30:59","date_gmt":"2024-02-23T12:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=21606"},"modified":"2024-02-23T07:30:59","modified_gmt":"2024-02-23T12:30:59","slug":"its-time-to-trade-chinese-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/its-time-to-trade-chinese-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Time to Trade Chinese Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China is waking up.<\/p>\n<p>The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) is up nearly 10% so far this month. Of course, most folks haven&rsquo;t noticed because most folks abhor the idea of investing in Chinese stocks &ndash; with good reasons&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Chinese stocks are risky. There are lots of fraudulent companies listed on the Chinese stock exchanges. Even the legitimate companies are prone to posting sketchy financial reports.<\/p>\n<p>The United States and Chinese governments are rivals.<\/p>\n<p>China&rsquo;s government is known for manipulating its financial markets.<\/p>\n<p>And the list goes on&hellip; There are plenty of reasons NOT to buy Chinese stocks as investments.<\/p>\n<p>But, every now and then, a low-risk\/high-reward setup appears &ndash; where it can be quite rewarding to TRADE Chinese stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Today is one of those times.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) trades near its lowest relative valuation to the S&amp;P 500 in 20 years. Look at this long term chart comparing the SSEC to the S&amp;P 500&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><!--IMG SNIP--><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-fluid\" alt=\"Image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202402\/20240223-JMU-01.png\"><\/p>\n<p>When the chart is rising, SSEC is performing better than the S&amp;P. When the chart is falling, SSEC is performing worse.<\/p>\n<p>For the most part, over the past 20 years your money has been treated better in the U.S. than in China.<\/p>\n<p>There are times, however, where the valuation difference is so extreme it has paid well to own Chinese stocks.<\/p>\n<p>In late 2008, for example, as the U.S. markets were still dealing with the Great Financial Crisis, SSEC bottomed. It then rallied about 80% over the next three months.<\/p>\n<p>In February 2022, this ratio chart hit another extreme low. SSEC rallied 20% in about four weeks, while the S&amp;P 500 dropped 7%.<\/p>\n<p>And, in November, 2022 &ndash; when the ratio chart hit its lowest point ever to that point &ndash; the Chinese stock market rallied 15% in just two months. The S&amp;P 500 was unchanged during that time.<\/p>\n<p>Today, the ratio chart is back down near its lowest point ever. Chinese stocks had a miserable 2023, and a miserable start to 2024. At the end of January, SSEC was down 8% from where it started the year. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 was up about 5%.<\/p>\n<p><!--GREY BOX START--><\/p>\n<div class=\"card bg-light mb-4\">\n<div class=\"card-body\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--GREY BOX END--><\/p>\n<p>But, it looks like that trend is changing.<\/p>\n<p>Yes&hellip; the S&amp;P 500 is up more than 4% so far this month. But, the SSEC is up 7%. And, that relatively strong performance has caused the ratio chart to turn higher. Chinese stocks are starting to outperform US stocks. And, it looks like that trend could last a while.<\/p>\n<p>None of this guarantees a rally in Chinese stocks, of course. Nothing is ever guaranteed.<\/p>\n<p>This historically low valuation does suggest, however, that the risk to owning Chinese stocks right here is limited. And, the potential reward could be substantial &ndash; especially if the recent rally in the S&amp;P cools off a bit and money starts to rotate into underperforming markets.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China is waking up.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-21606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21606"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21606\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21606"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=21606"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=21606"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=21606"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=21606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}