{"id":23958,"date":"2025-05-14T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-14T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=23958"},"modified":"2025-08-22T09:14:37","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T13:14:37","slug":"another-sharp-decline-could-start-at-any-moment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/another-sharp-decline-could-start-at-any-moment\/","title":{"rendered":"Another Sharp Decline Could Start at Any Moment"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Get ready for another decline phase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Granted, it\u2019s hard to go against the current bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But all the conditions that set the stage for a bounce off the lows last month are now pointing to the potential for a decline. And it looks like that decline could get started at any moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Recall the situation the market was in five weeks ago\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stocks had been selling off hard. The S&amp;P 500 was deeply oversold and trading historically far below all of its various moving average lines. All of the technical indicators we follow were in deeply oversold territory. Nearly every financial television talking head was bearish \u2013 some were even expecting a Black Monday type of crash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those conditions led to the remarkable bounce that has recovered everything the stock market lost in early April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, though, we have the opposite situation\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The threat of a global trade war, which caused so much turmoil last month, is deescalating.&nbsp; So many financial television talking heads are preaching about the prospects of the stock market hitting new highs in the weeks and months ahead. And the technical indicators are in extremely overbought condition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, the McClellan Oscillators for the New York Stock Exchange (NYMO) and the Nasdaq (NAMO) recently rallied above their upper Bollinger Bands and above the +60 level that marks extremely overbought territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are those charts\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"457\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-1024x457.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-914832\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-1024x457.png 1024w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-300x134.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-768x343.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-700x312.png 700w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6-1076x480.png 1076w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-6.png 1094w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"457\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-1024x457.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-914835\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-1024x457.png 1024w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-300x134.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-768x343.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-700x312.png 700w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7-1076x480.png 1076w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-7.png 1094w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The last time NYMO and NAMO were both in extremely overbought territory at the same time was in July 2024. The S&amp;P 500 fell 8% over the next three weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A similar move this time would have the index back below 5400 by early June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, the market doesn\u2019t have to follow the same script it did last July. There\u2019s no guarantee of a sharp decline. But it\u2019s usually a bad idea to be buying stocks into extremely overbought conditions. It often makes more sense to be a seller.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/tradesmith.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Jeff Clark<br>Editor,&nbsp;<em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>P.S.<\/strong> This market environment is the perfect playing field for <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT836333&amp;eid=MKT838442&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC228394&amp;SNAID=%25%25SNAID%25%25&amp;email=%25%25emailaddr%25%25&amp;encryptedSnaid=%25%25ENCRYPTEDSNAID%25%25&amp;emailjobid=%25%25jobid%25%25&amp;emailname=%25%25emailname_%25%25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">my Bill Payer strategy<\/a>&#8230; Because even when the markets are chaotic and volatile, you can use what I believe is the single best income-producing strategy to make upward of $400&#8230; in just one week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And this isn&#8217;t a cherry-picked result. I&#8217;ll show you how to do it over and over again with one straightforward investment vehicle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To check out how I put this strategy to the test by paying for an entire day&#8217;s worth of purchases around Miami, <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/?cid=MKT836333&amp;eid=MKT838442&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC228394&amp;SNAID=%25%25SNAID%25%25&amp;email=%25%25emailaddr%25%25&amp;encryptedSnaid=%25%25ENCRYPTEDSNAID%25%25&amp;emailjobid=%25%25jobid%25%25&amp;emailname=%25%25emailname_%25%25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">click right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"card card-body bg-light mb-4 mt-4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&rsquo;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&#038;P 500 could fall back below 5400 by early June. Here\u2019s why\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":100,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-23958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23958","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/100"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23958"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23958\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25133,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23958\/revisions\/25133"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23958"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23958"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23958"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=23958"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=23958"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=23958"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=23958"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}