As my long-term followers will know, 2008, 2020, and 2022 \u2013 three of the most devastating years for the average investor \u2013 turned out to be among the most lucrative years of my career.<\/p>\n
I\u2019ll get to how I\u2019ve been able to turn volatility into profits in a moment. First, it\u2019s important you understand why I believe why the increase in volatility we\u2019ve seen this year is the new norm\u2026<\/p>\n
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Chaotic Market Shock<\/h2>\n
If you don\u2019t know me, I\u2019ve been trading professionally for four decades.<\/p>\n
I started my career managing money for wealthy folks in Silicon Valley. Then, after an unsuccessful \u201cretirement\u201d in my early 40s, I began sharing my trade recommendations with folks like you.<\/p>\n
I\u2019ve had a ringside seat to some of the most extreme markets in living memory.<\/p>\n
The 1987 \u201cBlack Monday\u201d crash\u2026 the 2000 dot-com bust\u2026 the 2008 global financial crisis\u2026 the Covid crash and boom in 2020 and the subsequent tech-bust in 2022 \u2013 I\u2019ve seen it all.<\/p>\n
Over that time, I\u2019ve given my subscribers the chance to profit on well over 1,000 different winning trades.<\/p>\n
And most of them were during periods when the stock market was filled with chaos and volatility.\u00a0 <\/em><\/p>\n I don\u2019t say this to brag. I\u2019m bringing it up so you know I\u2019m speaking from experience when I tell you that I see a LOT more market volatility in 2025 and beyond.<\/p>\n In fact, I believe millions of people are about to be caught in the crosshairs of a chaotic market shock.<\/em><\/p>\n There are many reasons for this.<\/p>\n We live in a world where a single tweet can send the markets into a frenzy\u2026<\/p>\n You\u2019ve got economic and trade policies being proposed, implemented, and rescinded that are completely different from decades past\u2026<\/p>\n And you have the reshuffling of the global economy on a scale we haven\u2019t seen in modern history\u2026<\/p>\n But as unsettling as these factors are, what concerns me the most is encapsulated in the following chart.<\/p>\n\n\n What you\u2019re looking at is the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond.<\/p>\n As you can see, it peaked at about 14% in 1982.<\/p>\n That coincided with one the bull market on Wall Street that kicked off on Wall Street under President Reagan\u2019s watch.<\/p>\n The\u00a0Dow rose from 776 to 2,722 points by August 1987\u00a0\u2014 a\u00a0250% gain in five years. And that bull run continued, with brief pauses,\u00a0through the 1990s. You could even argue that it lasted until the\u00a0dot-com crash in 2000.<\/p>\n Long-term yields then fell for the next 40 years \u2013 hitting a low of 0.4% during the COVID crisis in 2020.<\/p>\n And over that time, the Dow gained about 3,700%<\/p>\n But look at what has happened in the last three years. The 30-year yield broke out above a 40-year declining resistance line (blue dotted line on the chart).<\/p>\n That\u2019s a clear \u201cregime change\u201d for yields.<\/p>\n And that\u2019s a big deal\u2026<\/p>\n Long-term bond yields are 60% higher today than they were in 2022.<\/p>\n And they\u2019re 1,100% higher <\/em>than they were in 2020.<\/p>\n In other words, long-term borrowing costs are 11 times greater today than they were five years ago.<\/p>\n Most folks, most companies, and most governments manage their debt by taking out new loans to pay off older debt as it matures.<\/p>\n And for the past 40 years we\u2019ve been able to do this at perpetually lower interest rates. This allowed us to borrow even more money without incurring larger debt payments.<\/p>\n People could buy bigger homes. Companies could pay premium prices to buy out competitors or buy back their own shares. Governments could spend money recklessly without feeling the pinch of fiscal budget restraints.<\/p>\n There were no consequences to borrowing money. Dick Cheney was right: Deficits didn\u2019t matter.<\/p>\n Now, with long-term yields hitting the highest level in 20 years, it costs more to borrow money. And borrowers must refinance maturing debt at higher rates.<\/p>\n Nobody is refinancing their mortgage anymore and taking out a pile of cash to spend on their lavish lifestyles. Companies can\u2019t borrow cheap money to buy back expensive shares.<\/p>\n It\u2019s a complete regime change when it comes to the cost of credit. And\u2026 the economy runs on credit.<\/p>\n This is troubling when it comes to the government\u2019s borrowing costs.<\/p>\n Washington \u2013 with $9 trillion of its $36 trillion national debt due to mature in 2025 \u2013 for lack of a better word\u2026 is screwed.<\/p>\n All of that debt will be refinanced at higher interest rates.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Of course, many younger folks \u2013 even some adults who should know better \u2013 still believe deficits don\u2019t matter.<\/p>\n They\u2019ll say: \u201cThe national debt has grown from $1 trillion in 1982 to almost $37 trillion today. Nothing bad has happened. What\u2019s different this time?\u201d<\/p>\n Take another look at the chart above. The difference couldn\u2019t be clearer.<\/p>\n The next big downturn could be the most volatile\u2026 chaotic\u2026 and potentially devasting market event of our lifetimes.<\/p>\n But if you\u2019re set up to take advantage of the Age of Chaos\u2026 you\u2019ll come out ahead.<\/p>\n That\u2019s what I\u2019ve been doing over the past few months of surging volatility.<\/p>\n Here are the trades I\u2019ve recommended at my live trading blog,\u00a0Delta Direct<\/em>, going back to the end of March.<\/p>\n\n\n Out of 13 trades, 11 were profitable and all but one were double-digit winners. The two losers only gave up a little more than a dollar in option premium per contract.<\/p>\n That’s why, on Wednesday, June 11 at 10 a.m. ET, I’ll be sharing the strategy I’ve used to make these gains in exactly this kind of market.<\/p>\n Register right here<\/a> to hear what I have to say. It might be the best financial move of your life.<\/p>\n Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n Jeff Clark P.S.<\/strong> In the meantime… if you register for the event and sign up for VIP alerts, you’ll get access to my Delta Direct <\/em>service for free until June 12.<\/p>\n I’ve never unlocked this benefit before. You can peek behind the hood to see how I make my trades – and possibly make a few yourself…<\/p>\n 11 of my 19 winning trades I’ve made in the past two months have come out of Delta Direct.<\/em> Here’s that link again to register here<\/a>.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/6.6.25-JMU.png\")
<\/figure>\n\n\nBorrowing Costs Are Shooting Higher<\/h2>\n
Potentially Devastating Market Event<\/h2>\n
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\nEditor, Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n