{"id":24860,"date":"2025-08-21T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-21T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=24860"},"modified":"2025-08-20T15:13:24","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T19:13:24","slug":"heres-why-index-funds-can-be-risky-business-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/heres-why-index-funds-can-be-risky-business-today\/","title":{"rendered":"Here&#8217;s Why Index Funds Can Be Risky Business Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"card card-body bg-light mb-4 mt-4\">\n<p><strong>Managing Editor&rsquo;s Note:<em>&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong>Today, we&rsquo;re hearing from our contributing editor Mike Burnick in his weekly Thursday feature.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;Mike has over 30 years in the investment and financial services industry &ndash; from operating as a stockbroker, trader, and research analyst, to running a mutual fund as a registered investment advisor and portfolio manager, to being Research Director for the Sovereign Society, specializing in global ETF and options investing.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;And he&rsquo;s been senior analyst at TradeSmith for three years, running&nbsp;Constant Cash Flow, Infinite Income Loop,&nbsp;and&nbsp;Inside TradeSmith.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;Here&rsquo;s Mike&hellip;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2> Here&rsquo;s Why Index Funds Can Be Risky Business Today<\/h2>\n<p><strong>BY MIKE BURNICK, CONTRIBUTING EDITOR, <em>MARKET MINUTE<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you have money invested in an S&amp;P 500 Index fund &ndash; as untold millions of investors do &ndash; you have two problems.<\/p>\n<p>The first is a severe lack of diversification, because what you&rsquo;re getting for your investment buck in these funds isn&rsquo;t really a diverse list of 500+ blue chip companies.<\/p>\n<p>In reality, 40% of your money is actually going into just 10 stocks, which is an all-time-high level of top-heavy concentration for the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, it&rsquo;s more concentrated now than before the dot-com bust in 2000, when the top 10 stocks accounted for over 25% of the index weight.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"564\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-1024x564.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-916481\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-1024x564.png 1024w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-768x423.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-700x386.png 700w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-871x480.png 871w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-370x205.png 370w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu.png 1123w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>At least back in 2000 there were a few banks, healthcare, energy, and industrial stocks thrown in for good measure.<\/p>\n<p>Today, it&rsquo;s all tech, except for JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway&hellip;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"442\" height=\"577\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-916484\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-2.png 442w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-2-230x300.png 230w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-2-302x394.png 302w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-jmu-2-368x480.png 368w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 442px) 100vw, 442px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>And aside from the lack of diversification, the other big problem for this top-heavy investment is&hellip; <em>higher risk<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The dominance of these mega-cap stocks in the S&amp;P 500 makes the index itself a lot riskier. That&rsquo;s because these stocks are extremely sensitive to the twists and turns in financial markets.<\/p>\n<p>There&rsquo;s a fancy Wall Street term for this known as &ldquo;beta.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>A stock with a beta of 1 generally moves with the market. While a stock with a beta of 1.25 would move 25% more, both up and down, than the market. Finally, a beta below 1 means the stock is more defensive and moves less than the market.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"498\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-JMU-3-1024x498.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-916487\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-JMU-3-1024x498.png 1024w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-JMU-3-300x146.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-JMU-3-768x374.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-JMU-3-700x340.png 700w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-JMU-3-987x480.png 987w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8.21.25-JMU-3.png 1172w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>Just 10 years ago, the beta of the top 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 was about 1, the same as the market&rsquo;s beta.<\/p>\n<p>Today, the beta of the top 10 stocks is nearly 1.5, or 50% more volatile than the market.<\/p>\n<p>The rest of the S&amp;P 500 index, excluding the top 10 stocks, has a beta of just 0.80 today, or about 20% less volatile than the market.<\/p>\n<p>We saw this play out live during the tariff turmoil early this year. The Magnificent 7 stocks as a group plunged 30% while the equal-weighted S&amp;P 500 fell just 17%.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Bottom line<\/em><\/strong>: Although we haven&rsquo;t experienced a similar selloff since the April low, experience says another is coming sooner or later. And when it does, owning the top 10 stocks, or an S&amp;P 500 Index fund for that matter, could be very risky business.<\/p>\n<p>Good investing,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.exct.tradesmith.com\/lib\/fe8213727c6200757c\/m\/1\/34a6d15e-eaf1-4c10-bf47-a783782acc4a.png\" alt=\"Signature\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px;width:100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Mike Burnick<br>\nContributing Editor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Owning an S&#038;P 500 index fund is riskier than ever.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":100,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[],"person":[155],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-24860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","person-mike-burnick"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/100"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24860"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24860\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24896,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24860\/revisions\/24896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24860"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=24860"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=24860"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=24860"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=24860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}