{"id":25139,"date":"2025-08-26T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=25139"},"modified":"2025-08-25T11:15:24","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T15:15:24","slug":"its-time-to-look-at-energy-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/its-time-to-look-at-energy-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Time to Look at Energy Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One by one, the lagging sectors of the stock market are starting to play &ldquo;catch-up.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>It started with electric utility stocks like PG&amp;E Corp. (PCG). One month ago, PCG was hitting new lows for 2025. Today, the stock is 20% higher.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s a solid gain for one month.<\/p>\n<p>Then, the healthcare sector got in on the action. By the end of July, just about every stock in the sector was hitting multi-year lows. Today, spurred by news that major hedge funds have been buying into the sector, most healthcare names are up 20% or more since the start of the month.<\/p>\n<p>And now, it looks like energy stocks are ready to rally.<\/p>\n<p>Prior to Friday&rsquo;s bump, the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/tradesmith.com\/stockdata\/XLE:NYSE\">Energy Select Sector Fund (XLE)<\/a><\/strong> was unchanged for the year.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, XLE had rallied about 11% off the early April low. But, that rally pales in comparison to the 28% gain in the S&amp;P 500. And now, as money appears to be coming out of the high-flying technology and AI names and is flowing into the lagging sectors, the value-priced energy stocks look set to rally.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this chart of XLE&hellip;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"472\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jmu-8.26.25.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-916502\" style=\"width:900px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jmu-8.26.25.png 624w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jmu-8.26.25-300x227.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jmu-8.26.25-521x394.png 521w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>XLE has spent the past two months bouncing between $85 and $89 per share. This action has created a consolidating rectangle pattern on the chart. Since the rectangle is $4 high, any breakout from this pattern should ultimately lead to a $4 move in the direction of the break.<\/p>\n<p>For example, if XLE breaks out to the upside, then the price target will be $93 per share &ndash; which lines up well with the January and March highs. A break to the downside targets $81 per share &ndash; which matches the December and June lows.<\/p>\n<p>The MACD and RSI indicators at the bottom of the chart, which measure the momentum of the current action, are in neutral territory. They don&rsquo;t indicate a preferred move in either direction. Though, in neutral, they indicate there is plenty of energy available to fuel a large move once it gets started.<\/p>\n<p>Since energy stocks have been lagging the performance of the broad stock market, I favor an upside breakout for XLE. The stocks are cheap relative to the S&amp;P 500. They&rsquo;re due to play a game of &ldquo;catch-up.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s also worth noting the seasonal trend for energy stocks is bullish as we head into September. For whatever reason, the energy sector tends to bottom in August\/September and then rally for several weeks heading into the fall months.<\/p>\n<p>If that pattern holds true this year, many energy stocks could be sharply higher in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" alt=\"Signature\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px;width:100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<br>\nEditor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n\n<div class=\"card card-body bg-light mb-4 mt-4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&rsquo;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The lagging sectors of the stock market are starting to play &#8220;catch-up.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":100,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-25139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25139","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/100"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25139"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25139\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25145,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25139\/revisions\/25145"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25139"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=25139"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=25139"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=25139"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=25139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}