{"id":25187,"date":"2025-09-02T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=25187"},"modified":"2025-08-29T10:42:31","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T14:42:31","slug":"heres-your-retirement-backup-plan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/heres-your-retirement-backup-plan\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s Your Retirement Backup Plan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Social Security is failing even faster than anticipated.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And that&rsquo;s not some exaggeration meant to scare you.\u202fThe U.S. government says so itself.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Last year, the Social Security Board of Trustees celebrated that it expected to run through its cash reserves by 2035 &mdash; its centennial &mdash; rather than the earlier projection of&hellip; 2034.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>This year, it quietly bumped Social Security&rsquo;s insolvency estimate back even earlier&hellip; as soon as 2033.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Assuming no change in the trend, the government projects Social Security checks will drop to 81% of what they are now.\u202fThat&rsquo;s also down from last year&rsquo;s estimate of 83%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>If that happened today, the average monthly check of $2,006 for retirees would drop to $1,625.\u202f\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So, Social Security is failing faster&hellip; and the planned benefit cut is steeper&hellip; than originally anticipated.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s the impact facing over 53 million American retirees and their families. And the 36 million projected to retire in the next decade.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>What can the government do to fix this?\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Three things, none of which are great&hellip; and none of which any politician seems willing to do:&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Raise income taxes. That&rsquo;s out the door with the recent extension of the 2017 tax cuts. In fact, the Social Security reserves may run out even sooner because of these tax cuts.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li>Raise the age when you can start to receive Social Security &ndash; probably the most viable path forward.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li>Cut Social Security benefits beyond what they&rsquo;re already expecting to do.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>All this is to say&hellip; If you&rsquo;re coming up on retirement, you should consider a &ldquo;Plan B&rdquo; if you don&rsquo;t want to spend your golden years working.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And if you&rsquo;re decades away from retirement, the Plan B is more like a Plan A.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The government is not coming to save you from Social Security&rsquo;s collapse.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Luckily, we at\u202fTradeSmith\u202fhave thought through this problem.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;ve devoted our team of dozens of data scientists, software engineers, and analysts to the task of helping you make returns that outpace the market. We&rsquo;ve spent tens of millions of dollars in the pursuit of this mission.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Beating the market, especially in a time of high inflation, is the best possible way to build the kind of nest egg that will endure for decades.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And even if you&rsquo;re just getting started today, we have a plan for you to supplement the extra income you&rsquo;re going to need in retirement when, not if, Social Security goes bust&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Your Three-Step Backup Plan for Social Security&rsquo;s Collapse&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Creating a backup plan for your retirement is simple in theory, but may be difficult in practice.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Luckily, the hardest step is the first one. So, let&rsquo;s start there.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong> Eliminate all high-interest-rate debt and ideally be debt-free.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Don&rsquo;t sit on any short-term, high-interest-rate debt (basically, everything but your mortgage and maybe your car loan). It demolishes your monthly income&hellip; and hands your hard-earned money over to the banks for no good reason.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>If you have debt, especially credit-card debt, make paying it off your top priority before you move on to steps 2 and 3.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;m serious. You can&rsquo;t proceed until this is done. No passive income stream&nbsp;<em>or<\/em>&nbsp;capital gains will be enough to consistently offset a credit card balance growing at a 24% annual rate.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Downsize&hellip; stop relying on credit cards&hellip; and make a smart spending plan where you pay off the debt, period.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n<li><strong> Build up your rainy-day fund.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>This looks a bit different for retirees than it does for working people, but it&rsquo;s just as important.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>You need a chunk of cash saved away for emergencies &mdash; necessary home or car repairs, unexpected medical expenses, stuff like that.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>This is the middle ground between the three steps for a reason. You can&rsquo;t have too much debt&hellip; but you also can&rsquo;t be so invested that you don&rsquo;t have any cash on hand.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>How much emergency cash you&rsquo;ll need will vary on your situation. If you&rsquo;re working, three to six months of living expenses is a good bet.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>But if you&rsquo;re already retired and looking for an estimate, just think about the most likely kind of major unexpected expense you&rsquo;d face&hellip;figure out what that would cost&hellip;and then double it. This is the minimum amount of cash you need on hand. Ideally, you keep that in a high-yield savings account you can tap into at any time.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol start=\"3\">\n<li><strong> Invest in a mix of U.S. Treasurys and high-quality, dividend-paying stocks.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Now that your debt and savings are squared away, we get into the part where TradeSmith really can help: investments.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>To build the core of your backup plan, you need to invest in assets that generate income while you sleep. This is so important to anyone&rsquo;s wealth plan, and it should be done as early in your financial journey as humanly possible.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Think about Warren Buffett. Right now, he&rsquo;s using his $347 billion war chest to earn about $15 billion a year in short-term Treasury bills, rolling them over and taking the proceeds month after month.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>He&rsquo;s one of the richest people in the world and perhaps the most successful investor of all time. But he&rsquo;s using the same tools you and anyone else can use to stay ahead.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Treasurys should be roughly 10% to 20% of your income portfolio as a retiree, depending on your personal risk tolerance. Go for the shortest terms and the highest rates, to minimize risk and maximize returns.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>If you&rsquo;re not a retiree, T-bills should be where your cash savings live.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And as for the remainder, that&rsquo;s where we start to talk about dividend-paying stocks.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dividends Are Your Retirement Lifeline&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dividends are a slice of a company&rsquo;s earnings, paid directly to shareholders. They&rsquo;re an essential component of any retirement portfolio.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>After all, while Treasurys might help you stay ahead of inflation&hellip; stocks can do much better, especially when you combine capital gains with high dividends.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Now, not all dividends are created equal. Many dividends, especially those with attractively high yields, are not sustainable. Even small dividends may not be, either, if the company hasn&rsquo;t been paying them for long or has a volatile business model.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s why it&rsquo;s so important to focus on quality companies when you go to build a long-term dividend portfolio.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Normally, this would require a lot of time doing research.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>But here at\u202fTradeSmith, we&rsquo;ve built two incredible tools that help you manage all of this in seconds.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The first is Jason Bodner&rsquo;s Quantum Score. This ratings system highlights stocks with all the hallmarks of a great trade &ndash; strong earnings, revenue, and profit-margin growth alongside price strength and large-scale buying volume.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The second is our Screener. With it, you can quickly screen for stocks that meet any criteria you&rsquo;re looking for.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In our case, we can use it to find stocks with a high Quantum Score plus dividend yields that beat inflation. (That&rsquo;s currently running at 3.1%, using the latest Core CPI reading.)&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>That takes a list of hundreds of large- and mid-cap U.S. stocks down to just 17. Here are the top 10 ranked by Quantum Score:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"638\" height=\"417\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/9.2.25-jmu.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-916571\" style=\"width:900px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/9.2.25-jmu.png 638w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/9.2.25-jmu-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/9.2.25-jmu-603x394.png 603w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 638px) 100vw, 638px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>All of the above stocks score about 80 on the Quantum Score, indicating a healthy combination of fundamental and technical factors.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And all of them yield more than 3.1% &ndash; some even 5% and 6%. At today&rsquo;s prices, their dividends represent an annual income stream that outpaces current inflation rates.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>With just these few parameters, we have a list of high-quality, mostly low-volatility, diversified dividend payers. That&rsquo;s a great start for someone building a high-income and high-performance portfolio&hellip;or for someone who&rsquo;s simply looking for new ideas.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Whatever form Social Security takes 10 years from now, chances are good you don&rsquo;t want to depend on it to keep you afloat through your golden years.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>You have to take action, and we&rsquo;ll keep showing you our favorite ways to do that.<\/p>\n<p>All the best,\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Keith Kaplan&nbsp;<br \/> CEO,\u202fTradeSmith&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S.&nbsp;<\/strong>The key to finding winning stocks like those is to follow the &ldquo;big money&rdquo;&hellip;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>When institutional investors from Wall Street move in with their client&rsquo;s money, that can keep a stock riding high all on its own.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>If they move back&nbsp;<em>out&hellip;&nbsp;<\/em>that&rsquo;s when Jason Bodner&rsquo;s Quantum Score would wave a big, red flag.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And the reason I was so excited to partner with Jason on it is because he used to&nbsp;<em>be&nbsp;<\/em>one of those institutional investors.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s how he learned to spot their money flows in the first place. <strong><u><a href=\"https:\/\/secure.tradesmith.com\/?cid=MKT844893&amp;eid=MKT847320&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC234021\">Check out my new presentation all about this partnership right here.&nbsp;<\/a><\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Social Security is failing even faster than anticipated.\u202f <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":100,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[],"person":[118],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-25187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","person-keith-kaplan"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25187","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/100"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25187"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25187\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25193,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25187\/revisions\/25193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25187"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25187"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25187"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=25187"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=25187"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=25187"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=25187"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}