{"id":25793,"date":"2025-11-21T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-21T12:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=25793"},"modified":"2025-11-20T15:27:45","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T20:27:45","slug":"hold-your-nose-and-start-buying-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/hold-your-nose-and-start-buying-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Hold Your Nose and Start Buying Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hold your nose and start buying stocks.<\/p>\n<p>That may seem like odd advice coming from someone who has been so persistently cautious over the past few months.<\/p>\n<p>But, the action over the past month has knocked some of the excessive bullishness out of the market. It has created the sort of oversold conditions that often precede intermediate-term rally phases. And, it is on the verge of generating a Volatility Index (VIX) buy signal just in time for the seasonal bullish tendencies to kick into gear.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this chart of the VIX along with its Bollinger Bands&hellip;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"278\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/11.21.25-JMU.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-917237\" style=\"width:900px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/11.21.25-JMU.png 624w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/11.21.25-JMU-300x134.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>VIX buy signals occur when the index closes above its upper Bollinger Band and then closes back inside the bands.<\/p>\n<p>Bollinger Bands indicate the most probable trading range for a stock or an index. Whenever a chart moves outside of its Bollinger Bands, it signals an &ldquo;extreme&rdquo; condition &ndash; which is vulnerable to a reversal in the other direction.<\/p>\n<p>(This is part of my mean-reversion strategy, which can quickly yield double- or triple-digit gains in this type of market environment. You can learn more about it <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.tradesmith.com\/?cid=MKT840975&amp;eid=MKT853929&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC238060\">right here<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>In the case of the VIX, these extreme conditions trigger buy and sell signals for the broad stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday, the VIX closed above its upper Bollinger Band for the fourth straight day. When it closes back inside the bands, the VIX will generate a broad stock market buy signal. That could happen as soon as today.<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;ve seen five such buy signals &ndash; or buy signal clusters, when the VIX generated two or more buy signals within just a few days of each other &#8211; over the past year. Here&rsquo;s how the S&amp;P 500 behaved following each of those signals&hellip;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"278\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/11.21.25-JMU-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-917240\" style=\"width:900px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/11.21.25-JMU-2.png 624w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/11.21.25-JMU-2-300x134.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>In every case, the stock market rallied in the days immediately following a VIX buy signal. Sometimes the rallies were short-term &ndash; lasting just a few days &ndash; like last December and last March.<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes the buy signals marked the start of intermediate-term rally phases lasting several weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Either way, traders did well to buy stocks on the signal.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, nothing in the stock market is guaranteed. If we go back far enough, we can find examples of VIX buy signals that did not play out profitably &ndash; at least, not right away.<\/p>\n<p>For the most part, though, VIX buy signals have an excellent track record. And since the past five buy signals preceded 120-plus-point rallies in the S&amp;P 500, there&rsquo;s a good chance this next buy signal will play out profitably as well.<\/p>\n<p>There are still plenty of reasons to be cautious on the stock market as we head into 2026 and beyond. But, for the next several days &ndash; and maybe even the next few weeks &ndash; the bulls have the advantage of a VIX buy signal.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" alt=\"Signature\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px;width:100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<br>\nEditor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n\n<div class=\"card card-body bg-light mb-4 mt-4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&rsquo;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">go here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When these signals hit, it\u2019s time to buy\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":100,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-25793","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25793","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/100"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25793"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25793\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25799,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25793\/revisions\/25799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25793"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25793"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25793"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=25793"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=25793"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=25793"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=25793"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}