{"id":26852,"date":"2026-04-14T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=26852"},"modified":"2026-04-13T13:51:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T17:51:01","slug":"a-five-point-checklist-for-this-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/a-five-point-checklist-for-this-market\/","title":{"rendered":"A Five-Point Checklist for This Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"card card-body bg-light mb-4 mt-4\">\n<p><strong>Managing Editor&rsquo;s Note: <\/strong>Tradesmith CEO Keith Kaplan is here to tell us about why, even though we&rsquo;re in a volatile market, you don&rsquo;t have to choose between protecting yourself and staying in the game. Because TradeSmith&rsquo;s software lets you play defense and offense at the same time.<\/p>\n<p>With our indicators and portfolio management tools, you can still profit on the upside if this bull market continues. And you&rsquo;re protected if this year&rsquo;s volatility turns into something worse.<\/p>\n<p>Today, he&rsquo;ll run through a five-point checklist you can follow to do just that.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2>A Five-Point Checklist for This Market<\/h2>\n<p><strong>By Keith Kaplan, CEO,&nbsp;TradeSmith&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>When I warned you last December that 2026 would be a \u201ctipping point\u201d<br>year for the AI boom, I wasn&#8217;t thinking about a war in the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I had no idea it was even in the cards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, I wasn\u2019t thinking about the future at all. I was looking at the <em>past<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The AI boom isn\u2019t the first time stocks have soared on the promise of a transformative new general purpose technology.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The market boomed in the 1920s on the belief that electrification, automobiles, and mass production would create a New Era of prosperity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the 1960s, another New Era dawned with the rise of computing, electronics, and aerospace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then in the late 1990s came the fastest boom of the century, built on a new communication technology called the internet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As I <a href=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/a-tipping-point-for-the-ai-boom-is-coming-in-2026\/\/\"><strong>wrote<\/strong><\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Different decades. Different technologies. Different New Eras. But each ended the same way: with a \u201ctipping point\u201d nobody saw coming until it was too late.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After a roaring bull market over the past three years, the tech-filled Nasdaq 100 is down 4% in 2026. And the <strong>Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)<\/strong> \u2013 which tracks the seven mega-cap tech stocks that led the bull run \u2013 is down 7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s obviously not a crash. It\u2019s hardly even a reason to panic. We\u2019re nowhere near the kind of market where we\u2019d recommend selling everything and moving to cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But it is a change in market character. And in my experience, those are worth paying attention to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The good news is you don\u2019t have to choose between protecting yourself and staying in the game. Because TradeSmith\u2019s software lets you play defense and offense at the same time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With our indicators and portfolio management tools, you can still profit on the upside if this bull market continues. And you\u2019re protected if this year\u2019s volatility turns into something worse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, I\u2019ll run through a five-point checklist you can follow to do just that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Move No.1: Check Your Stops<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Right now, the most important question to ask about every position you hold is: Do I have the right stop in place?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you\u2019re a TradeSmith subscriber, that means using our Long-Term Health stops for your long-term holdings. It\u2019s calibrated to each stock\u2019s normal range of movement, so you don&#8217;t get shaken out by routine dips in an otherwise healthy position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For shorter-term positions \u2013 anything you\u2019re holding for months, not years \u2013 you want a tighter leash. That\u2019s where our Short-Term Health stops come in. They trigger earlier, and they\u2019re calibrated for faster-moving conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The distinction matters. Use a long-term stop on a short-term trade, and a small loss can become a large one before the signal fires. Use a short-term stop on a long-term holding, and normal volatility shakes you out of a great position prematurely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stop losses matter because when markets get choppy, emotions take over. Fear makes you sell too early. Hope makes you hold too long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This simple risk management tool removes that decision entirely. You set it in advance, when you\u2019re thinking clearly. If the market moves against you, and your stops are triggered, you get out without having to think about it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And TradeSmith makes stops even better by tuning them to each of your positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s a snapshot of the five most recent Long-Term Health sell signals across the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow. If you own any of these stocks, it\u2019s time to seriously consider selling them:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/tradesmith.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Health-Snapshot-1-1024x393.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>These are just five of 203 stocks showing the same sell signal across our system right now. So if you\u2019re a TradeStops subscriber, <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.tradesmith.com\/\"><strong>log in<\/strong><\/a> and make sure nothing you own has the same flag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Move No. 2: Rebalance Your Portfolio<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A bull market is great for your account balance. It\u2019s not so great for your position sizes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When stocks run hard, your winners become a bigger slice of your portfolio. A stock that started as a 3% position and doubled is now 6%. One that tripled is nearly 10%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It feels great on the way up\u2026 but it\u2019s painful on the way down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A great habit to get into is regular rebalancing \u2013 selling a slice of your biggest winners and spreading the proceeds across the rest of your portfolio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It sounds counterintuitive. You\u2019re trimming the stocks that are working. But it\u2019s how disciplined investors keep risk evenly distributed, so that no single position can do serious damage to their overall wealth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Move No. 3: Follow What\u2019s Working<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A tipping point doesn\u2019t mean everything goes down. It means investors get more selective.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rising tide stops lifting all boats\u2026 and the stocks with real, structural demand start to separate from the ones that were just riding the wave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Right now, our data is pointing to three clear areas of strength \u2013 all tied to the AI boom, but one level deeper than the obvious plays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Power grid upgrades.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Big tech is spending more than $600 billion on AI infrastructure this year alone. All that compute power needs electricity \u2013 and America&#8217;s aging grid wasn&#8217;t built for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Companies repairing and upgrading that grid, like <strong>GE Vernova (GEV)<\/strong> and <strong>Powell Industries (POWL)<\/strong>, are hitting new all-time highs while the broader market stumbles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Optical networking.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This the high-speed infrastructure that moves data between AI datacenters. Without it, the AI buildout stalls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Firms like <strong>Lumentum (LITE) <\/strong>and <strong>Ciena (CIEN)<\/strong> are posting 25%-plus revenue growth and hitting new highs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Memory and data storage.<\/strong> <br>AI is about data just as much as it is about energy and networking.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Training large AI models requires enormous amounts of memory. Running them does too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Western Digital (WDC)<\/strong> and <strong>Seagate (STX)<\/strong> make the hard drives and solid-state storage that hold all that data. <strong>Marvell Technology (MRVL)<\/strong> designs the chips that move data around inside AI systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These companies all look boring\u2026 until you realize every AI application on the planet depends on what they make.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>None of these themes requires predicting where the Nasdaq goes next. The demand is structural.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And our Short-Term Health indicator has been flagging buy signals across all three\u2026 some going back as long as 10 months. Take a look:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/tradesmith.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Snapshot-2-1024x490.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Also note how well these stocks have performed over the last month \u2013 the period where markets saw most of their decline from the Iran war shock.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Move No. 4: Shorten Your Time Horizons<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Choppy markets like this one are great for surfacing short-term opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s because volatility moves stocks in both directions \u2013 often further and faster than the underlying business justifies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For disciplined traders, that&#8217;s far more of an opportunity than a problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our <em>Predictive Alpha<\/em> service uses an AI model to forecast price moves for thousands of stocks up to 21 trading days out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Right now, it\u2019s pointing to bullish setups across energy, biotech, and transportation \u2013 sectors that are holding up while the broader market struggles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ConocoPhillips (COP)<\/strong> is among the top bullish signals in energy, with a forecast to rise 5.3% by May 4 with a 91.4% accuracy rating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/tradesmith.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Snapshot-3-1024x717.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kymera Therapeutics (KYMR), <\/strong>which develops treatments for cancer and inflammatory diseases like arthritis, stands out in biotech. That\u2019s forecast to rise 8% by April 29, with an accuracy rating of 92.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/tradesmith.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Snapshot-4-1024x712.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>And our model is also flagging a bullish setup in <strong>Old Dominion Freight (ODFL)<\/strong>, one of America\u2019s largest freight carriers. Our model sees it rising 3.3% by April 30, accurate 89% of the time in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/tradesmith.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Snapshot-5-1024x696.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If you&#8217;re a subscriber, <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.tradesmith.com\/dashboard\"><strong>log in<\/strong><\/a> and check the top 10 bullish <em>Predictive Alpha<\/em> forecasts for yourself \u2013 there\u2019s far more to see than just these three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Move No. 5: Think Differently From the Crowd<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, in a market like we\u2019re in today, you want to think differently from the crowd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why I\u2019m so excited about the revolutionary new software we\u2019ve been working on. It builds a kind of \u201cbehavioral profile\u201d of more than 2,000 stocks \u2013 and scans them every day for the specific patterns that have historically preceded big moves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s a radical departure from how 99% of investors approach the markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The main two ways to analyze stocks are fundamental analysis and technical analysis (also known as chart analysis).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With fundamental analysis, you look at what a company is worth and whether the market is pricing it correctly. Warren Buffett made this method famous. It works. But it applies the same framework to every company, as if they all behave the same way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With technical analysis, you look at how a stock is trading rather than what the business is doing. It also works. But like fundamental analysis, it also applies the same frameworks to thousands of different companies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then there\u2019s a game-changing third approach that my team and I at TradeSmith have been working on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Where fundamental analysis asks what a company is worth, and technical analysis asks how it\u2019s trading, this new approach asks something different entirely. How does <em>this specific stock<\/em> behave \u2013 and when does that behavior signal a big move?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And it changes how you think about every trade you make.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019ll be getting into all the details at the launch event for this breakthrough new trading tool later this month. So keep an eye out for more on that in these pages this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All the best,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keith Kaplan<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CEO, TradeSmith<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Five moves to protect your wealth without sitting out the rally\u2026 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":100,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[118],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-26852","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-keith-kaplan"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26852","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/100"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26852"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26852\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26858,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26852\/revisions\/26858"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26852"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=26852"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=26852"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=26852"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=26852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}