{"id":27689,"date":"2026-06-12T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=27689"},"modified":"2026-06-11T14:07:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T18:07:33","slug":"the-vix-is-telling-us-its-time-to-bet-on-a-bounce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-vix-is-telling-us-its-time-to-bet-on-a-bounce\/","title":{"rendered":"The VIX Is Telling Us It\u2019s Time to Bet on a Bounce"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Volatility Index (VIX) has flipped. The setup that was <a href=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-crystal-ball-is-leaning-bearish\/\">leaning bearish two weeks ago<\/a> is now leaning bullish. The VIX is on the verge of generating a broad stock market buy signal.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has fallen 4.4% over the past two weeks. It has erased nearly all the gains from May. And, in the process, it has knocked some of the excessive bullishness out of the market.<\/p>\n<p>Now though, the VIX is telling us it&rsquo;s about time to bet on a bounce.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look&hellip;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135232-1024x469.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-919058\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135232-1024x469.png 1024w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135232-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135232-768x352.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135232-700x321.png 700w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135232-1048x480.png 1048w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135232.png 1445w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>VIX buy signals occur when the index closes above its upper Bollinger Band and then closes back inside the bands.<\/p>\n<p>Bollinger Bands indicate the most probable trading range for a stock or an index. Whenever a chart moves outside of its Bollinger Bands, it signals an &ldquo;extreme&rdquo; condition &ndash; which is vulnerable to a reversal in the other direction.<\/p>\n<p>In the case of the VIX, these extreme conditions trigger buy and sell signals for the broad stock market.<\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday, the VIX closed above its upper Bollinger Band. When it closes back inside the bands, the VIX will generate a broad stock market buy signal. That could happen as soon as today.<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;ve seen four such buy signals &ndash; or buy signal clusters, when the VIX generated two or more buy signals within just a few days of each other &ndash; so far in 2026. Here&rsquo;s how the S&amp;P 500 behaved following each of those signals&hellip;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"484\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135245-1024x484.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-919061\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135245-1024x484.png 1024w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135245-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135245-768x363.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135245-700x331.png 700w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135245-1016x480.png 1016w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Screenshot-2026-06-11-135245.png 1439w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>The stock market rallied in the days immediately following three out of the four VIX buy signals.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 rallied 150 to 200 points in a week following the signals in January and February. The buy signal in late March marked the start of an enormous, intermediate-term rally phase.<\/p>\n<p>The one failed buy signal in early March preceded a 400-point drop in the S&amp;P 500. That was painful. But, it led to an even more significant buy signal later in the month.<\/p>\n<p>For the most part, though, traders did well to buy stocks when the VIX told them to do so.<\/p>\n<p>So, just as the VIX was warning traders to be cautious two weeks ago, it is now on the verge of telling us to buy.<\/p>\n<p>There are still plenty of reasons to be cautious on the stock market as we head through 2026 and beyond. But, for the next several days &ndash; and maybe even the next few weeks &ndash; the bulls will soon have the advantage of a VIX buy signal.<\/p>\n\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" alt=\"Signature\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px;width:100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<br>\nEditor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n\n<div class=\"card card-body bg-light mb-4 mt-4\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you checked out Jeff&rsquo;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">go here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The VIX is on the verge of generating a broad stock market buy signal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2759,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-27689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_content_changed_during_generation":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2759"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27689"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27689\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27698,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27689\/revisions\/27698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27689"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=27689"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=27689"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=27689"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=27689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}