{"id":28367,"date":"2026-09-03T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/?p=28367"},"modified":"2026-09-02T11:02:33","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T15:02:33","slug":"bitcoin-bulls-should-watch-for-a-pullback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/bitcoin-bulls-should-watch-for-a-pullback\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bulls Should Watch for a Pullback"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"card card-body bg-light mb-4 mt-4\">\n<p><strong>Managing Editor\u2019s Note:<\/strong> Today, we\u2019re hearing from our contributing editor Mike Burnick in his weekly feature.<\/p>\n<p>Mike has over 30 years in the investment and financial services industry \u2013 from operating as a stockbroker, trader, and research analyst, to running a mutual fund as a registered investment advisor and portfolio manager, to being Research Director for the Sovereign Society, specializing in global ETF and options investing.<\/p>\n<p>And he\u2019s been senior analyst at TradeSmith for three years, running Constant Cash Flow, Infinite Income Loop, and Inside TradeSmith.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s Mike\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Bitcoin Bulls Should Watch for a Pullback<\/h2>\n<p><strong>BY MIKE BURNICK, CONTRIBUTING EDITOR, <em>MARKET MINUTE <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/bearish-seasonality-is-kicking-in-now\/\">Last week<\/a> I covered the unfolding seasonal slump for stocks according to our Trade Cycles indicators. See below.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"965\" height=\"687\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104850.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-919946\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104850.png 965w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104850-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104850-768x547.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104850-553x394.png 553w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104850-674x480.png 674w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 965px) 100vw, 965px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>But stocks aren\u2019t the only asset class that runs into seasonal headwinds at this time of year.<\/p>\n<p>You can also spot negative seasonal trends in alternative assets including gold and Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Gold had a spectacular run higher early in 2026, but then the trend reversed sharply, falling 26% between January and July.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin too caught fire recently, up almost 40% in just over one month!<\/p>\n<p>But if you\u2019re thinking of hopping aboard the Bitcoin train now, you may want to think again.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s because our Trade Cycles expect a seasonal slump for the cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"842\" height=\"730\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104905.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-919949\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104905.png 842w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104905-300x260.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104905-768x666.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104905-454x394.png 454w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Screenshot-2026-09-02-104905-554x480.png 554w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 842px) 100vw, 842px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>The chart above shows a seasonally bearish pattern for Bitcoin that began mid-August and runs through September 26. Bitcoin has been down 70% of the time during this period over the last 10 years, with an average return of -6.83%.<\/p>\n<p>Not a good time to be a Bitcoin bull!<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Bottom line<\/em><\/strong>: The good news, for those with patience to wait out a pullback, is that Bitcoin seasonality turns bullish again in October, according to our <strong>Trade Cycles<\/strong> indicators. Historically, the cryptocurrency is up 18.7% in October with a 100% accuracy rate in the past 10 years!<\/p>\n<p>Good investing,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"max-width: 200px; width: 100%;\" src=\"https:\/\/image.exct.tradesmith.com\/lib\/fe8213727c6200757c\/m\/1\/34a6d15e-eaf1-4c10-bf47-a783782acc4a.png\" alt=\"Signature\" width=\"200\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Mike Burnick<br \/>Contributing Editor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seasonality points to a pullback for Bitcoin. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2762,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"0","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[155],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-28367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-mike-burnick"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_content_changed_at":"","ai_tts_content_changed_during_generation":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2762"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28367"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28367\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28376,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28367\/revisions\/28376"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28367"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=28367"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=28367"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=28367"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=28367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}